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Alavés vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alavés vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid are favorites facing Alavés away in a La Liga clash. Alavés have a mixed recent home record against Atlético, who have shown stronger overall dominance historically. The match is expected to be competitive with an emphasis on Atlético’s defensive solidity and Alavés’ struggle to score consistently at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid have a solid starting season with good form; Alavés have mixed results at home and tend to struggle against top sides.
  • Historically, Atlético Madrid lead overall with 13 wins out of 23 meetings; at home, Alavés have 5 wins out of 11 meetings against Atlético. Most common scorelines have been low scoring 2-0 or 0-1.
  • No explicit injury data available in current sources; assume near full squads but Atlético Madrid likely has deeper rotation options.
  • No adverse weather or external issues reported; venue is Atlético-friendly neutral with a slightly favorable crowd effect for home side Alavés.
  • Atlético Madrid likely more motivated to start the La Liga campaign strongly to establish title credentials; Alavés focused on home points but under pressure vs stronger opponents.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés: +365, Atlético Madrid: -125, Draw: +255 Atlético Madrid ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Alavés +50: +105, Atlético Madrid -0.5: -125 Atlético Madrid -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid moneyline win

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Real Betis vs. Alavés Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Real Betis vs Alavés – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Benito Villamarín, Seville

Game Overview

Real Betis hosts Alavés in a La Liga match where Betis is favored due to superior recent form and home advantage, while Alavés seeks to build on a positive start to the season despite their weaker away record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Betis finished 6th last season with Europa League qualification and had mixed pre-season results. Alavés finished 15th but started this season with unbeaten runs and a win in their opener despite weaker overall season form.
  • Recent H2H shows Real Betis generally stronger, though Alavés secured a notable 3-1 away win at Benito Villamarín last January, illustrating some vulnerability of Betis at home.
  • No major injury reports impacting starting lineups for either side have been noted, suggesting both teams will field close to full-strength squads.
  • Playing at home benefits Real Betis, who historically perform better at Benito Villamarín; Alavés has struggled on the road with nine away defeats last season.
  • Betis is motivated to capitalize on home advantage after a draw away in the opener, aiming for three points to maintain a strong start. Alavés rides confidence from recent positive results but faces pressure to upset the odds away.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés: +350, Real Betis: -121, Draw: +255 Real Betis ★★★★☆ 73%
Spread Alavés +50: +102, Real Betis -0.5: -122 Real Betis -0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25: -102, Under 2.25: -118 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Betis 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Real Betis win; Spread: Real Betis -0.5; Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: Real Betis 1-0 Alavés


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – August 22, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Paris Saint Germain vs. Angers Prediction Paris Saint Germain -2.75 -108 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Real Betis vs. Alavés Prediction Real Betis Win -121 ★★★★☆ 73% (73%)
West Ham United vs. Chelsea Prediction Chelsea -0.5 -158 ★★★★☆ 72% (72%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +474

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $114.88

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Alavés vs. Levante Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alavés vs Levante – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain

Game Overview

Alavés hosts Levante in an opening La Liga clash where Alavés is slightly favored based on recent form and historical performance. Levante has struggled against Alavés historically and carries lower win probabilities according to available data.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alavés shows stronger recent form and home advantage with a higher expected win probability (~49.6%) versus Levante (~23.5%), while draws sit around 32%. Levante has been less consistent.
  • Alavés historically outperforms Levante, with previous meetings showing Alavés as favorites and stronger in direct confrontations.
  • No critical injury information available indicating major absences for either team, suggesting near full-strength squads.
  • No significant external disruptions such as travel fatigue or extreme weather reported for the match day.
  • Both teams start the season eager for points, but Alavés' home advantage and recent stability give them a motivational edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés: 1.19, Levante: 2.65, Draw: 2.10 Alavés ★★★★☆ 73%
Spread Alavés: -0.25 -115, Levante: +25 -105 Alavés -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over: 2 – 1.05, Under: 2 – 1.25 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alavés 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alavés at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alavés to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.25 spread, and match finishing under 2 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Alavés vs. CA Osasuna Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alavés vs CA Osasuna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain

Game Overview

Alavés (14th) hosts Osasuna (9th) in a La Liga match where both sides are in the lower middle section of the table. Osasuna is in better recent form, and their head-to-head record strongly favors them against Alavés. Alavés seeks to break a 10-game winless streak against Osasuna in La Liga, while Osasuna aims to maintain their dominance and secure a top-half finish.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Osasuna ranks higher (9th) and has shown better recent results compared to Alavés (14th). Osasuna likely has better squad depth and consistency this season.
  • Osasuna is unbeaten in the last 10 La Liga encounters against Alavés, indicating a clear psychological edge[4][5].
  • No major injury updates available from current sources. This field should be monitored for late updates.
  • No significant external factors reported; weather and pitch conditions are expected to be normal for the time of year. Match is at home for Alavés.
  • Osasuna has more to gain with a top-half finish, while Alavés is expected to finish mid-table. Both teams are safe from relegation, but Osasuna has slightly more motivation for final standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés: 215, CA Osasuna: 135, Draw: 225 CA Osasuna ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Alavés: 25 -120, CA Osasuna: -0.25 100 CA Osasuna (-0.25) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2.25 105, Under: 2.25 -125 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline CA Osasuna -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Osasuna is favored due to superior league position, head-to-head dominance, and better form. Alavés is the underdog at home, risking another loss to Osasuna.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Valladolid vs. Alavés Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Valladolid vs Alavés – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio José Zorrilla

Game Overview

Valladolid hosts Alavés in a crucial La Liga fixture, with both teams aiming for valuable points in the closing stages of the season. Alavés are slight favorites on the road, while Valladolid hopes to leverage home advantage for a much-needed result. Historically, matches between these sides have been low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals in 8 of the last 9 meetings at Valladolid's ground[3][5].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alavés have shown better form and are clear favorites according to bookmakers. Valladolid, despite home advantage, has struggled for consistency and goal-scoring efficiency, especially in recent home matches[5].
  • The most common result between these teams is 0-1, favoring Alavés. Under 2.5 goals has occurred in the majority of their recent encounters[3][5].
  • No key injury news reported in leading previews. Both teams are expected to field full-strength squads[1].
  • Stadium advantage for Valladolid, but no significant external disruptions expected[1].
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with possible implications for league standings, as the season approaches its final rounds[1][5].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés: -165, Valladolid: 460, Draw: 295 Alavés win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Alavés -0.75: -125, Valladolid +75: 105 Alavés cover (-0.75) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: 105, Under 2.5: -125 Under 2.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alavés -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Expect a tightly contested match with few goals. Alavés are favored to edge out a narrow victory, but Valladolid's home form shouldn't be underestimated. The match is likely to be decided by a single goal, in line with historical trends between these sides.

Predicted Score: 0-1


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – May 14, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
CF Montreal vs. Columbus Crew SC Prediction Columbus Crew SC Win 120 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Philadelphia Union vs. LA Galaxy Prediction Philadelphia Union Win -155 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Alavés vs. Valencia Prediction Under 2.25 -125 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +551

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $130.3

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Alavés vs. Real Sociedad Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alavés vs Real Sociedad – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-23
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain

Game Overview

The La Liga match between Alavés and Real Sociedad on April 23, 2025, features a clash between a struggling Alavés side ranked 17th and a mid-table Real Sociedad currently 9th. The game is set at Alavés' home ground, Estadio de Mendizorroza, where the hosts will look to capitalize on home advantage to climb out of relegation danger. Real Sociedad, although positioned higher, have faced mixed results this season, making this encounter highly competitive with both teams hungry for points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alavés have shown some resilience at home but overall have struggled in the league, sitting near the relegation zone. Real Sociedad have been inconsistent but possess a stronger squad depth and have the ability to control games. Their recent form shows a slight edge to Alavés in terms of motivation to avoid relegation.
  • This season, the teams have met once before, with Real Sociedad generally having a better historical record. However, recent H2H data indicate close contests, with Alavés managing to keep the margin tight. Sofascore indicates balanced previous encounters and voting slightly favors Alavés at home.
  • No detailed injury updates are available from the search results, though typical squad rotations and minor injuries can be expected at this stage of the season without major absenteeism reported.
  • Playing at home gives Alavés a significant advantage, especially given their need for points to avoid relegation. Weather conditions and fan support are expected to favor the home side.
  • Alavés are highly motivated due to their precarious league position, fighting to stay clear of relegation. Real Sociedad, mid-table and safe, might lack the same level of urgency, possibly affecting their intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés: 1.35, Real Sociedad: 2.35, Draw: 2.1 Alavés win ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Alavés -0.25: -102, Real Sociedad +25: -118 Alavés -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2: -108, Under 2: -112 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alavés -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the home advantage and urgency for points, Alavés have a slight edge over Real Sociedad despite the odds suggesting some value on the home win. A tight, low-scoring game is likely, with Alavés favored to edge out a narrow victory or draw.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Sevilla vs. Alavés Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sevilla vs Alavés – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-20
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Seville, Spain

Game Overview

This LaLiga match between Sevilla and Alavés sees two sides with differing fortunes. Sevilla, currently 14th, looks to improve its position, while Alavés, ranked 17th, fights to avoid relegation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sevilla has a better overall record this season, but Alavés has shown resilience in head-to-head encounters. Sevilla must rely on scorers like Dodi Lukebakio, while Alavés counts on Kike García.
  • Recent matches have seen Alavés win two of their last three encounters against Sevilla, which could give them confidence despite currently being lower in the standings.
  • Specific injury reports were not provided, but both teams should be cautious with their key players to ensure full strength.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support at Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán could influence the match in Sevilla's favor.
  • Both teams have strong motivation, with Sevilla aiming for a better league position and Alavés trying to escape relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 105, away: 310, draw: 215 Sevilla Not available
Spread away: -128, home: 108 Sevilla Not available
Over/under over: 100, under: -120 Under 2 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sevilla -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sevilla is favored to win due to home advantage and slightly better form, but Alavés's recent victories against them make this an unpredictable match.

Predicted Score: 1-0 to Sevilla


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Alavés vs. Real Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alavés vs Real Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-13
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Game Overview

Alavés hosts Real Madrid in a La Liga match. Real Madrid has a strong record against Alavés, winning their last meeting 3-2. Despite injuries and recent losses, Real Madrid is favored to win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alavés has struggled with consistency this season, while Real Madrid boasts high-quality talent like Kylian Mbappé. However, Real Madrid faces injuries and recent defeats.
  • Real Madrid generally dominates head-to-head matches, having won several recent encounters against Alavés.
  • Real Madrid has several players sidelined, including Dani Alaba and Fede Valverde. Alavés also has injuries, notably Antonio Sivera and Tomás Conechny.
  • Recent losses for Real Madrid could affect morale, but they remain a stronger side. Alavés will aim to capitalize on home advantage.
  • Both teams have different motivations; Alavés seeks to climb the table, while Real Madrid fights to secure a top spot.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés 400, Real Madrid -160, Draw 320 Real Madrid win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Alavés 75 @ 105, Real Madrid -0.75 @ -125 Real Madrid covers spread ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over_under Over 2.75 @ -108, Under 2.75 @ -112 Over 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Madrid 14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Real Madrid at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Madrid to win the match due to superior team strength and recent head-to-head performance.

Predicted Score: Alavés 1, Real Madrid 3


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