Match Analysis: Colorado Buffaloes vs Alabama St Hornets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-18
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: CU Events Center, Boulder, CO
Game Overview
The undefeated Colorado Buffaloes (3-0) face the Alabama State Hornets (2-1) in an NCAA basketball game at Colorado's home court. Colorado is a heavy favorite according to the bookmakers, with strong recent form and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Colorado is 3-0, showing strong offensive output with a solid 56.5% field goal percentage, while Alabama State is 2-1 with less efficient shooting (46%). Colorado has also gone over totals in all recent home games.
- There is limited recent head-to-head data. However, Colorado's superior record and stats suggest a clear advantage over Alabama State.
- No significant injury reports for either team that could meaningfully impact this matchup.
- Game played at Colorado's home venue, CU Events Center, providing a strong home-court advantage and likely boosting Colorado's confidence.
- Colorado aims to maintain their undefeated start at home, sustaining momentum; Alabama State looks to prove competitiveness but is an underdog.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado Buffaloes: -4000, Alabama St Hornets: +1400 | Colorado Buffaloes | ★★★★★ 90% |
| Spread | Colorado Buffaloes -18.5: -110, Alabama St Hornets +18.5: -110 | Colorado Buffaloes -18.5 | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Over/under | Over 156.5: -114, Under 156.5: -106 | Over 156.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado Buffaloes -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 156.5 22% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 156.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Colorado Buffaloes to win straight up, covering the 18.5 point spread, and the game to go over 156.5 points.
Predicted Score: Colorado Buffaloes 87 – Alabama St Hornets 68