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Akron Zips vs. Yale Bulldogs Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Akron Zips vs Yale Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-25
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Virgin Islands (Neutral Site)

Game Overview

The Akron Zips face off against the Yale Bulldogs in a neutral-site matchup during the Virgin Islands Paradise Jam. Both teams enter the contest with strong records, Akron at 5-1 and Yale at 5-1, having each won their last two games. Akron comes off a dominant 97-59 win over Evansville, while Yale defeated Charleston 74-63. The game is expected to be competitive, with both teams showing offensive efficiency and solid defensive performances recently.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Akron has averaged 94.6 points per game and allowed just 72.6 points per game this season, shooting 56% from the field in their last outing. Yale averages 86.0 points per game and allows 72.0 points per game, with Nick Townsend leading their offense. Akron’s recent blowout win and consistent scoring suggest a slight edge in offensive firepower and defensive intensity.
  • No recent head-to-head meetings are available, but both teams have strong records against non-AP-ranked opponents at neutral venues. Akron has won 26 of its last 27 such games, while Yale has won 9 of its last 10.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
  • The game is being played at a neutral site in the Virgin Islands, which may slightly favor Akron due to their recent dominance in neutral-site matchups. Both teams are well-rested and motivated for a strong showing in this tournament.
  • Both teams are seeking to build momentum in the Paradise Jam and improve their national profile. Akron’s recent blowout win and strong defensive showing provide added confidence, while Yale looks to bounce back after a close loss to Rhode Island.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Akron Zips: -104, Yale Bulldogs: -115 Akron Zips β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Akron Zips: 1.5 -122, Yale Bulldogs: -1.5 100 Akron Zips ATS β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over: 154.5 -110, Under: 154.5 -110 Over β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Akron Zips 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 154.5 3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 154.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Akron is favored to win this matchup due to their superior offensive output, recent blowout victory, and strong defensive performance. Yale’s offense is potent, but Akron’s ability to stifle opponents and their recent form give them the edge. The game is expected to be close, but Akron should cover the spread and push the total over the line.

Predicted Score: Akron Zips 84, Yale Bulldogs 76


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Evansville Purple Aces vs. Akron Zips Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Evansville Purple Aces vs Akron Zips – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-24
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: St. Thomas, US Virgin Islands (Neutral Site)

Game Overview

The Akron Zips (4-1) face the Evansville Purple Aces (3-3) in a college basketball matchup at a neutral venue in St. Thomas. Akron enters as a heavy favorite, coming off a commanding 96-75 win over Iona, while Evansville is riding momentum from a close road win against Oregon State. Akron boasts a strong offensive performance this season, averaging 94.6 PPG, compared to Evansville's 73.3 PPG. The game features contrasting styles, with Akron's efficient shooting and defense favored over Evansville's recent inconsistent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Akron has a 4-1 record, dominating opponents with high scoring margins, including a 21-point win in their last game. Evansville is 3-3, splitting wins and losses with recent success against Oregon State but significant losses against stronger teams. Akron's offensive efficiency (47.8% FG, 43% 3PT) and defensive prowess give them a clear edge over Evansville's lower shooting percentages and defense.
  • Akron won the last matchup between these teams 69-60. Historically, Akron maintains dominance with a better overall record and recent head-to-head success.
  • No significant injury reports or absences were noted for either team in the available data.
  • The game is played at a neutral site in the US Virgin Islands, removing home advantage for either team. Akron has shown good adaptability to neutral venues in past performances. No weather or travel disruptions reported.
  • Akron looks to maintain its winning momentum and establish dominance early in the season, while Evansville aims to prove competitiveness by covering the spread as underdogs. Evansville's recent win may boost confidence, but Akron's strong start should keep motivation high to avoid an upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Akron Zips: -1250, Evansville Purple Aces: 740 Akron Zips to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 93%
Spread Akron Zips: -13.5 -108, Evansville Purple Aces: +13.5 -112 Akron Zips to cover -13.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Over/under Over: 155.5 -115, Under: 155.5 -105 Under 155.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Evansville Purple Aces 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 155.5 27%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 155.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Akron Zips are projected to win decisively, leveraging superior offensive and defensive efficiency. A likely straight win and cover of the -13.5 spread is expected, with moderate to high confidence given current form and odds.

Predicted Score: Akron Zips 85 – Evansville Purple Aces 70


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Akron Zips vs. Iona Gaels Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Akron Zips vs Iona Gaels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-21
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: UVI Sports & Fitness Center, St. Thomas

Game Overview

The Akron Zips (3-1) host the undefeated Iona Gaels (4-0) in a college basketball matchup. Akron is favored strongly on the moneyline and points spread, with odds reflecting a strong home advantage and recent form. Both teams have displayed solid defensive capabilities, with Akron having a balanced attack and Iona boasting high shooting efficiency, particularly from distance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Akron averages 94.3 points per game with 46.4% field goal shooting and excels in assists (22.0 per game). However, they lost in their recent matchup against Purdue (79-97). Iona is undefeated at 4-0, averaging 87.8 points per game with a 50.6% field goal percentage and strong three-point shooting at 40.2%. Iona won their last game decisively (89-69 over Princeton). Akron dominates boards with 44.5 rebounds per game versus Iona's 35.3.
  • Recent head-to-head data is limited in the available sources, but Akron has historically had success covering the spread against Iona in last meetings and exhibits a slight edge playing at home.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team in the sources consulted, suggesting lineups should be at full strength.
  • The game is at a neutralish venue (UVI Sports & Fitness Center in St. Thomas) which might reduce traditional home advantage. Both teams travel in good form, with Akron adjusting from their loss and Iona coming off a strong win. Public betting is heavily concentrated on Akron, indicating market confidence.
  • Iona, undefeated and eager to maintain momentum, seeks to prove itself against a favored Akron. Akron aims to leverage home setting and rebound from recent loss, with high confidence shown by public bettors.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Akron: -520, Iona: 390 Akron moneyline win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Akron: -10.5 at -108, Iona: +10.5 at -112 Akron covers -10.5 spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 171.5: -110, Under 171.5: -110 Under 171.5 total points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Akron Zips 302%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 171.5 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Akron Zips at 302% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 77.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Akron is expected to win the game by covering the -10.5 spread, given its balanced offense, rebounding superiority, and better assist-to-turnover ratio. The pace of the game is likely to be controlled, projecting a total score below the 171.5 over/under line.

Predicted Score: Akron 88 – Iona 76


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Top EV Parlay for Basketball – November 21, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Basketball – November 21, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Michigan St Spartans vs. Detroit Mercy Titans Prediction Michigan St Spartans -10000 3266%
Loyola (Chi) Ramblers vs. Northern Illinois Huskies Prediction Loyola (Chi) Ramblers -1350 738%
Akron Zips vs. Iona Gaels Prediction Akron Zips -520 302%

Combined Odds: -341 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $25.87

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Bowling Green Falcons vs. Akron Zips Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Bowling Green Falcons vs Akron Zips – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 19, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Doyt L. Perry Stadium, Bowling Green, Ohio

Game Overview

Bowling Green Falcons host the Akron Zips in a crucial MAC conference matchup with both teams struggling through difficult seasons. The Falcons enter with a 3-7 record at home, seeking to capitalize on their strong historical advantage against Akron, while the visiting Zips arrive at 4-7 with one of the worst road records in the nation. This contest features two teams fighting for bowl eligibility and represents a potential turning point for either program's postseason hopes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bowling Green maintains a dominant head-to-head record against Akron (13-3 SU in their last 16 matchups, 8-3 ATS in last 11 home games against Akron), suggesting a structural advantage. However, Bowling Green has struggled recently with a 1-4 SU record in their last 5 games and inconsistent ATS performance (1-5 in last 6 games). Akron's season-long struggles are evident with a 15-67 SU record in their last 82 games and a devastating 2-18 SU record on the road in their last 20 games. The Zips' passing game (200/376 completions, 2,452 yards, 6.52 YPA) marginally outperforms Bowling Green's (150/251 completions, 1,549 yards, 6.17 YPA), but Akron's turnover differential (-5.91) is particularly concerning. Akron's defense (28.45 rating) is notably weaker than Bowling Green's (25.80 rating).
  • The historical record overwhelmingly favors Bowling Green with 13 wins in their last 16 meetings and a 12-5 ATS record in their last 17 matchups against Akron. Home field advantage appears decisive in this rivalry, with Bowling Green 8-3 ATS at home against the Zips in their last 11 meetings. Akron's recent record against Bowling Green is particularly dire at 2-5 SU in their last 7 games and 3-13 SU in their last 16 meetings, indicating a clear superiority trend.
  • No specific injury information is available in the provided data. Both teams likely have standard seasonal injuries common to late-November games, but critical personnel loss details are not documented.
  • Weather conditions at kickoff show 41Β°F with 0% rain and 7 mph wind, creating neutral field conditions favorable for both offensive and defensive schemes. The early morning kickoff (7:00 PM ET, 12:00 AM UTC) may disadvantage the traveling Akron squad, particularly given their poor road performance. November trends show Akron performing poorly (5-15 SU in last 20 November games, 5-23 SU in last 28 November games) despite solid ATS performance (4-1 ATS in last 5 November games, 6-2 ATS in last 8 November games). Bowling Green has struggled in November with the total going UNDER in 4 of their last 5 November games and 6 of their last 7 November games.
  • Both teams require victories to maintain bowl eligibility hopes. Bowling Green, as the home team with historical dominance in the series, has clear motivation to end their recent slump. Akron faces existential pressure as a visiting team with catastrophic road performance, making this a potential must-win scenario. The rivalry context and strong home advantage for Bowling Green suggests higher motivation for the home squad.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Akron Zips +168 | Bowling Green Falcons -200 Bowling Green Falcons Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Akron Zips +5.5 (-110) | Bowling Green Falcons -5.5 (-110) Bowling Green -5.5 COVER β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Over/under Over 47.5 (-110) | Under 47.5 (-110) Under 47.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 59%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bowling Green Falcons 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bowling Green Falcons are projected to win this matchup with moderate-to-strong confidence. The combination of dominant head-to-head records, home field advantage, superior defensive metrics, Akron's historically poor road performance, and betting market sentiment (Bowling Green favored at -200 moneyline) all point toward a Falcons victory. However, both teams' recent form inconsistency and the potential for defensive struggles in November games introduce moderate uncertainty. Expected margin of victory favors Bowling Green by 5-7 points.

Predicted Score: Bowling Green 27, Akron 21


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Purdue Boilermakers vs. Akron Zips Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Purdue Boilermakers vs Akron Zips – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 16, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, Indiana

Game Overview

The No. 2 Purdue Boilermakers (3-0) host the undefeated Akron Zips (3-0) in a matchup between two hot teams looking to extend their win streaks. Purdue enters as a significant favorite, with the bookmakers pricing them at -4000 moneyline odds, indicating an expected dominant home performance. Akron arrives in West Lafayette having won their first three games of the season but faces a substantial talent and prestige gap against a top-ranked program.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Purdue enters this contest undefeated at 3-0 and ranked No. 2 nationally, demonstrating strong early-season form. The Boilermakers recently defeated three opponents convincingly and feature guard Braden Smith, who recorded 29 points in a recent showing. Akron similarly boasts a 3-0 record with notable performances from A. Lyles (#0), who averages 16.0 PPG while shooting 68.0% from the field and 81.3% from the free throw line. However, Akron's schedule thus far appears significantly less competitive than Purdue's elite-level competition.
  • No historical head-to-head data is available from the search results. This represents a matchup between a powerhouse Big Ten program and a mid-major opponent from a smaller conference.
  • No specific injury information is provided in the available search results for either team.
  • Purdue plays at home where they maintain strong court advantage. The game is broadcast on Big Ten Network with significant media coverage, typical for games involving top-ranked teams. Akron must travel to face one of the nation's premier programs in an intimidating road environment.
  • Purdue seeks to maintain their elite ranking and undefeated status while establishing dominance early in the season. Akron aims to make a statement by competing against a top-2 ranked program, though their primary motivation likely centers on avoiding an embarrassing loss rather than capturing an upset victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Purdue: -4000 | Akron: +1400 Purdue Boilermakers Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 97%
Spread Purdue: -19.5 (-110) | Akron: +19.5 (-110) Purdue -19.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Over/under Over: 160.5 (-110) | Under: 160.5 (-110) Under 160.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Purdue Boilermakers 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 160.5 -2%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Purdue Boilermakers at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Purdue is overwhelmingly favored to win this contest decisively. The massive discrepancy in team talent, ranking, and program prestige makes a Purdue victory highly probable. The -19.5 spread reflects appropriate market recognition of Purdue's superiority. While Akron's 3-0 record is respectable, facing the No. 2 team in the nation at their home arena represents a dramatically different challenge. Expect Purdue to control the game from the opening tip and win comfortably.

Predicted Score: Purdue 78, Akron 57


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Akron Zips vs. Kent State Golden Flashes Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Akron Zips vs Kent State Golden Flashes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-11
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: InfoCision Stadium-Summa Field, Akron, OH

Game Overview

The Akron Zips (4-6, 3-3 MAC) host the Kent State Golden Flashes (3-6, 2-3 MAC) in a Mid-American Conference matchup. Akron holds a slightly better overall and conference record, but recent form and head-to-head results add complexity to the prediction. Weather conditions at game time are expected to be clear and cold (33Β°F) with little wind.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Akron is struggling with a 0-5 record in its last 5 games but has a better overall record (4-6) compared to Kent State’s 3-6. Akron is 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in the last 5 games and 2-3 ATS on the road. Kent State has a poor recent ATS record, going 8-16-1 ATS in their last 25 games, and is 3-22 SU in their last 25 overall games, indicating recent struggles as well.
  • Historically, Akron has been more competitive against Kent State. The head-to-head data over recent seasons shows Akron holds a slight advantage, but with both teams underperforming this season, past results may have limited predictive power.
  • No specific injury reports were available in the provided data for key starters on either team, suggesting no major absences impacting the matchup significantly.
  • The game will be played outdoors at Akron’s home stadium with expected cold but clear weather, which could favor the home team used to these conditions. Fan support could provide Akron with a slight edge.
  • Both teams are likely motivated as mid-tier MAC teams looking to improve their records late in the season. Akron may have higher motivation given their better conference standing and home-field advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Akron Zips: -190, Kent State Golden Flashes: 160 Akron Zips β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread Akron Zips: -5.5 (-105), Kent State Golden Flashes: +5.5 (-115) Akron Zips to cover -5.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over: 49.5 (-110), Under: 49.5 (-110) Over 49.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Akron Zips -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Akron's slight edge at home, better overall record, and public betting pressure (100% bets on Akron), they are favored to win but with caution considering their recent poor form.

Predicted Score: Akron Zips 28 – Kent State Golden Flashes 17


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Akron Zips vs. Princeton Tigers Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Akron Zips vs Princeton Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Akron Zips Home Court

Game Overview

The NCAA basketball matchup between the Akron Zips and Princeton Tigers is set for November 8, 2025, at 5 PM UTC. Akron enters as clear favorites both in betting odds and recent performance, while Princeton holds a slight historical edge in their head-to-head series, with two wins out of three meetings but lost the most recent encounter by a single point.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Akron Zips have demonstrated strong offensive ability recently, winning their last game 85-71 and showing consistency with several double-digit wins in the last matches. Princeton Tigers have struggled recently, losing their last game 59-57 and having a 0-0 start this season, highlighting a less consistent performance early in the season.
  • Princeton leads the historical series 2-1 against Akron with one home win and one neutral court win. However, Akron won the most recent match narrowly with a 75-76 result on December 30, 2024, indicating closely matched teams historically.
  • No specific injury reports are available from the current data sources for either team, suggesting both squads likely to field near full-strength lineups.
  • The game being played at Akron's home venue gives them a significant advantage, supported by strong home performance trends and crowd support. No notable external disruptions or weather factors apply as it is an indoor game.
  • Akron Zips are motivated to build on their home winning streak and dominate early season, while Princeton Tigers aim to reverse their recent poor form and assert their edge in the series history.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Akron Zips: -720, Princeton Tigers: 500 Akron Zips to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Akron Zips -10.5: -114, Princeton Tigers +10.5: -106 Akron Zips to cover -10.5 spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Over/under Over 155.5: -110, Under 155.5: -110 Over 155.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Akron Zips -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 155.5 24%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 155.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Akron Zips are favored to win decisively, likely covering the -10.5 point spread and winning the moneyline bet, driven by their current form and home advantage. The total points are expected to remain around the set over/under line given Akron's strong offense and Princeton's defensive challenge.

Predicted Score: Akron Zips 82 – 70 Princeton Tigers


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Buffalo Bulls vs. Akron Zips Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Buffalo Bulls vs Akron Zips – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-25
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UB Stadium, Buffalo, New York

Game Overview

The Buffalo Bulls (4-3 overall, 3-0 MAC) host the Akron Zips (2-6 overall, 1-3 MAC) in a Mid-American Conference matchup. Buffalo aims to maintain a perfect 4-0 record in MAC play, a rare achievement for the program. They have a dominant recent history against Akron, winning the last seven meetings. The Bulls show strong offensive production, especially in passing, and an opportunistic defense with multiple blocked punts in recent games. Akron struggles overall but seeks to break their losing streak against Buffalo on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Buffalo boasts a solid 3-0 record within the MAC, with recent clutch wins decided in the final minute. Their passing attack leads the conference with 331 yards per game in MAC play, bolstered by standout receiver Victor Snow who leads the MAC in touchdown receptions. Akron has been inconsistent, holding a 1-3 conference record and 2-6 overall, suffering several heavy losses but capable of scoring as seen in recent games. Buffalo's defense also excels in special teams, with four blocked punts in six games tied for the national lead.
  • Buffalo has a clear supremacy over Akron, having won the last seven consecutive meetings. This psychological edge and familiarity likely favor Buffalo going into the contest at home.
  • No specific injury reports are available from the provided data for either team, suggesting rosters should be close to full strength.
  • The game is at Buffalo's home stadium, providing them a home-field advantage. The game will be televised on ESPN+ with radio coverage available, ensuring wide coverage. Weather or other external conditions are not provided but are unlikely to disadvantage Buffalo.
  • Buffalo is motivated to stay perfect in MAC play and build on momentum for a strong conference title push. Akron aims to stop Buffalo's winning streak and improve their struggling season, seeking an upset on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Buffalo Bulls: -360, Akron Zips: 285 Buffalo Bulls β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Buffalo Bulls: -9.5 -110, Akron Zips: +9.5 -110 Buffalo Bulls -9.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Over/under Over: 47.5 -105, Under: 47.5 -115 Under 47.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Buffalo Bulls -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Buffalo is favored strongly to win both straight up and against the spread due to superior overall performance, conference dominance, and historic success against Akron. A Buffalo victory covering the 9.5-point spread is the most confident outcome.

Predicted Score: Buffalo Bulls 31 – Akron Zips 17


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Ball State Cardinals vs. Akron Zips Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Ball State Cardinals vs Akron Zips – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Scheumann Stadium, Ball State

Game Overview

The Ball State Cardinals (2-4, 1-1 MAC) host the Akron Zips (2-5, 1-2 MAC) in a Mid-American Conference matchup. Both teams have struggling records and have been inconsistent offensively and defensively. Ball State holds a slight home advantage, but Akron has a capable ground game. The teams are similarly matched, leading to close betting lines and uncertain outcomes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ball State has lost 4 of 6 recent games and is 1-1 in conference play, showing moderate home strength but overall mediocrity. Akron is 2-5 overall and 1-2 in conference, with a run-heavy offense that averages 130.9 rushing yards per game but a defense allowing 29 points and 439.1 yards on average. Both teams have offensive inefficienciesβ€”Akron's QB Ben Finley completes only 50.8% passes, and Ball State has underperformed against mid-tier opponents.
  • No recent dominance from either side; historically and in recent matchups the results have been split or close, indicating a balanced contest without a clear trend favoring one team.
  • No specific injury data available; assume standard roster availability given no reports to the contrary.
  • Ball State hosting at Scheumann Stadium provides home field advantage. Weather or other environmental factors are not reported to affect the game significantly.
  • Ball State seeks to leverage home advantage to improve a middling season; Akron looks to rebound from recent losses and stay competitive in MAC standings. Both teams have incentive but prior trends show Ball State performs better as a home favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Akron Zips: -102, Ball State Cardinals: -118 Ball State to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Spread Akron Zips +1.5: -115, Ball State Cardinals -1.5: -105 Ball State to cover -1.5 spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over 41.5: -112, Under 41.5: -108 Under 41.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ball State Cardinals 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 41.5 16%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 41.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ball State is favored narrowly due to home advantage and slightly better recent form. The game is expected to be close, but with Ball State edging Akron by a small margin.

Predicted Score: Ball State 21 – Akron 17


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