Match Analysis: Southampton vs Preston North End – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: St. Mary's Stadium
Game Overview
Southampton host Preston North End in an EFL Championship match where Southampton show historical dominance but recent inconsistency, while Preston approach with good away motivation after a recent home win.
Key Factors to Consider
- Southampton have won 4 of the last 5 meetings, but currently are on a two-game losing streak. Preston have mixed form but won their last home game and show decent offensive stats with an average of 1.2 goals per match recently.
- In the last 12 meetings since 2005, Southampton have won 5 times against Prestonβs 0 wins in the last 5 meetings. Recent matches include a 2-2 draw in October 2023 and generally favor Southampton.
- No significant reported injuries impacting starting lineups for either team.
- Southampton are playing at home where they have a 60% draw rate this season, indicating difficulty in breaking down opponents but also resilience.
- Preston have strong motivation to avoid defeat away, especially after a recent home win, while Southampton seek to break their losing streak at home and improve their standings.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Southampton: -154, Preston North End: +365, Draw: +280 | Southampton | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Southampton -0.75: -115, Preston +75: -105 | Preston +0.75 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -118, Under 2.5: -102 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Southampton -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 19% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Southampton moneyline win
Predicted Score: 1-1