Match Analysis: New York Islanders vs Minnesota Wild – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: UBS Arena, New York
Game Overview
The New York Islanders host the Minnesota Wild in an NHL matchup with the Islanders favored at home. Both teams struggle defensively, with above 3.3 goals allowed per game, but the Islanders have a stronger offense averaging 3.3 goals per game versus Minnesota's 2.8. Minnesota comes off a loss after a two-game win streak and will play their second game in two nights, likely impacting their energy.
Key Factors to Consider
- Minnesota Wild have a 5-7-3 record, losing eight of their last 11 games and 1-4 on the road in recent matches. Islanders have a 6-5-2 record, winning six of their last 10 and four of the last six at home, scoring more goals on average.
- Recent head-to-head games favor the Islanders, especially at home, with more consistent offensive output and slightly better defensive stats in those matchups.
- No key injury reports alter starting goaltender expectations; both teams expected to play their main starters with known goalie stats showing middling save percentages.
- The Wild are on the second night of a back-to-back road schedule, decreasing their rest and recovery advantage. The Islanders play at home with full rest, benefiting from arena familiarity.
- The Islanders show more motivation to maintain home-ice advantage and regain momentum after a recent loss, while the Wild face travel fatigue and less recent success.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -134, away: +107 | New York Islanders | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | home: 185, away: -235 | New York Islanders -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | over: -104, under: -121 | Over 6.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York Islanders 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 6.5 18% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 6.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The New York Islanders are predicted to win straight up (moneyline) and cover the -1.5 spread, while the game total is expected to go over 6.5 goals due to weak defensive play and above-3.3 GAA from both teams.
Predicted Score: New York Islanders 4, Minnesota Wild 2