Match Analysis: New York City FC vs Charlotte FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, USA
Game Overview
This MLS playoff match features New York City FC hosting Charlotte FC. New York City FC holds a slight edge based on recent form and their 1-0 win in the previous leg. The game is expected to be competitive with a tendency towards a moderately high-scoring encounter.
Key Factors to Consider
- New York City FC won the previous meeting 1-0 and have shown consistent form at home. Charlotte FC have struggled to score away and are under pressure to overturn the deficit.
- This is the fourth meeting this season. New York City FC leads the series 2-1 including the recent 1-0 win on October 28, 2025.
- No critical injuries reported for either side, squads appear near full strength.
- Home advantage favors New York City FC playing at Yankee Stadium with strong fan support and familiar conditions.
- New York City FC aims to maintain a series advantage and advance; Charlotte FC is motivated to attack aggressively to overturn the deficit.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York City FC: -135, Charlotte FC: +355, Draw: +290 | New York City FC | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | New York City FC -0.75: -106, Charlotte FC +75: -114 | New York City FC -0.75 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 3: +104, Under 3: -124 | Over 3 goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York City FC 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3 22% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York City FC to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.75 spread, and the match to go over 3 goals.
Predicted Score: 3-1