Match Analysis: Florida Panthers vs Dallas Stars – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 10:10 PM UTC
- Location: Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise, Florida
Game Overview
The Florida Panthers (5-5-1, 4-1-1 at home) host the Dallas Stars (6-3-2, 3-1-1 away) in a cross-conference NHL matchup. Both teams are coming off recent losses, with the Panthers just edged at home by Anaheim and the Stars falling in overtime at Tampa Bay. The Panthers have a strong home record, while the Stars show strong road form. Odds see the Panthers as slim favorites, with the total set at 5.5 goals.
Key Factors to Consider
- Panthers are 4-5 as favorites with ML odds like today's (-134 or shorter), but their home record is solid (4-1-1). Stars are slightly better in the standings and have a strong road record, but show vulnerability on defense away from home. Panthers are just 62.5% on the moneyline in their last 8 as home favorites, while Stars have lost 4 of 5 vs. Atlantic teams[5].
- Panthers have won 7 of the last 10 H2H meetings, including the last four straight[2]. However, recent matches have been close, with three of the last four decided by one goal or in overtime/shootout. Home-ice advantage is significant in this series, with Panthers historically holding the edge over the Stars[2].
- Injury status is not detailed in available sources, but both teams have some players marked as 'Day-To-Day' and 'IR'[4]. No major stars reported as definitively out for this matchup.
- No major external factors (travel, back-to-back, weather, etc.) are reported. Both teams are relatively rested, coming off close losses. The 'Over 1.5 in 3rd Period' is a notable trend, hitting in 9 straight between these teams[5].
- Both teams are in solid positions early in the season and are competitive. Panthers may place extra motivation on correcting recent home losses. Stars look to bounce back from a frustrating OT loss. High stakes for both teams to build momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Panthers -130, Stars +110 | Panthers ML | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
| Spread | Panthers -1.5 190, Stars 1.5 -230 | Stars +1.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5 -125, Under 5.5 105 | Under 5.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Florida Panthers 9% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 19% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Panthers slight favorites at home, but Stars offer value as small underdogs. Expect a low-scoring, tight defensive game with a lean to the Panthers. Most trends point to under (less than 5.5 total goals), but the 'Over 1.5 in 3rd Period' is a strong prop trend[5].
Predicted Score: Panthers 2 – Stars 1