Match Analysis: Portsmouth vs Preston North End – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-30
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Fratton Park, Portsmouth, England
Game Overview
Portsmouth and Preston North End face off in a tightly contested EFL Championship match, with Portsmouth playing at home. Both teams show mixed recent form, but Portsmouth displays better passing accuracy and slightly stronger home performance, while Preston has been resilient defensively. Historical H2H games show a modest edge to Portsmouth with more wins overall, but recent matches have been closely fought.
Key Factors to Consider
- Portsmouth has won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 1.2 goals per match and conceding 0.8, showing decent offensive and defensive balance. Preston has won 3 of their last 5 as well, with a slightly lower 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, indicating defensive solidity but somewhat less attacking prowess.
- 6 meetings since 2008 show Portsmouth winning 2, Preston 1, and 3 draws. The most recent game in March 2025 ended 2-1 in favor of Preston, but overall Portsmouth has edged this fixture historically. Both teams average about 1 goal per match in the H2H.
- No significant injury news detected to suggest major absences that would impact starting XI for either side, indicating both squads likely near full strength.
- Playing at Fratton Park benefits Portsmouth via home support and familiar conditions. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be typical for late August, no adverse effects anticipated.
- Both teams likely motivated to secure points early in the season. Portsmouth aims to capitalize on home advantage to climb standings. Preston looks to maintain defensive strength and build on recent momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Portsmouth: 118, Preston_North_End: 220, Draw: 215 | Portsmouth | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | Portsmouth_-0.25: -110, Preston_North_End_+25: -110 | Portsmouth -0.25 | β β β ββ 63% |
Over/under | Over_2.25: -115, Under_2.25: -105 | Under 2.25 | β β β ββ 59% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Portsmouth 13% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 9% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Portsmouth at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Portsmouth to win on the moneyline, cover -0.25 on the spread, with under 2.25 total goals
Predicted Score: 1-0