Match Analysis: New York City FC vs D.C. United – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-30
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Game Overview
New York City FC hosts D.C. United in a pivotal MLS match with playoff implications. NYCFC is in solid form, aiming to extend a winning streak at home, while D.C. United struggles, anchored near the bottom of the Eastern Conference.
Key Factors to Consider
- NYCFC holds a strong home record with 12 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses overall, scoring 36 and conceding 30 goals with a reliable defense and 7 clean sheets. D.C. United has a poor season record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 15 losses, scoring 23 but conceding nearly 2 goals per match (1.93).
- Recent encounters favor NYCFC given their stronger form and home advantage, while D.C. United has not shown competitive results against NYCFC this season.
- No major injury concerns were reported for either team, with expected starting goalkeepers Matt Freese (NYCFC) and Luis Barraza (DC) set to start.
- The game is at NYCFC's home stadium with local crowd and MLS playoff positioning motivating the home side highly. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be neutral.
- NYCFC aims to secure a playoff spot and climb standings, while D.C. United looks to avoid relegation pressure and improve morale after recent draws.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | New York City FC -190 / D.C. United +440 / Draw +360 | New York City FC | β β β β β 79% |
Spread | New York City FC -1.5 +132 / D.C. United +1.5 -175 | New York City FC -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 -182 / Under 2.5 +135 | Over 2.5 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York City FC -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 -10% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: New York City FC at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York City FC to win on the moneyline with a single-goal margin, game ending over 2.5 total goals
Predicted Score: 2-1