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Hafeni Nafuka vs. Kevin Enz Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing


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Match Analysis: Hafeni Nafuka vs Kevin Enz – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Festhalle Messe Frankfurt, Frankfurt am Main

Game Overview

The main card catchweight bout between Hafeni Nafuka and Kevin Enz is scheduled at OKTAGON 76 on September 20, 2025. Nafuka (10-3) holds a notable experience advantage over Enz (4-3), with a strong submission record. Enz also possesses grappling skills but with fewer fights and a slightly larger frame. The fight features contrasting styles with Nafuka's aggressive submission prowess and Enz's physical attributes and resilience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hafeni Nafuka has demonstrated consistent performance with 10 wins, including 6 submissions and 2 KOs, showing a well-rounded skill set. Kevin Enz, with 4 wins, has decent submission and knockout ability but less experience overall. Nafuka's recent form and finishing ability make him the favorite.
  • There is no prior direct matchup between Hafeni Nafuka and Kevin Enz, making this a first-time meeting with unpredictable dynamics.
  • No recent or reported injuries affecting either Hafeni Nafuka or Kevin Enz have been disclosed prior to the fight.
  • Fight taking place in Frankfurt, Germany, a neutral ground with no clear home advantage. Both fighters are likely motivated to perform under the spotlight of OKTAGON MMA main card status.
  • Nafuka aims to solidify his status as a top contender in the catchweight division with a high-level submission win while Enz looks to upset the more experienced opponent and improve his MMA record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hafeni Nafuka: -175, Kevin Enz: +140, Draw: +2000 Hafeni Nafuka β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Hafeni Nafuka -1.5: -120, Kevin Enz +1.5: +100 Hafeni Nafuka -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: +110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Hafeni Nafuka is predicted to win by submission in the first round based on historical finishing rates and grappling superiority.

Predicted Score: Hafeni Nafuka wins by submission in Round 1 at 2:28


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Welisson Paiva vs. Mateusz Makarowski Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing


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Match Analysis: Welisson Paiva vs Mateusz Makarowski – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Hala Podpromie, RzeszΓ³w, Poland

Game Overview

This lightweight division fight between Welisson Paiva of Brazil and Mateusz Makarowski of Poland is part of the KSW 110 card held at Hala Podpromie. It is a main card bout scheduled for 7:00 PM UTC on September 20, 2025. Both fighters bring solid experience to the cage, with Paiva holding a record of 12-3-2 and Makarowski having a record of 13-7-1. This matchup is a key fight on the card, featuring contrasting fighting styles and approaches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Welisson Paiva has demonstrated a consistent ability to control fights with a mix of striking and grappling, highlighted by his solid win and low loss count. Mateusz Makarowski, a taller fighter with a slight reach advantage, has a more mixed record, indicating less consistency but notable toughness and resilience.
  • There is no available record of previous direct encounters between Welisson Paiva and Mateusz Makarowski, making this their first meeting in the cage.
  • No recent or reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the match have been noted from the available data sources.
  • Fighting in Poland corresponds to a home advantage for Mateusz Makarowski, which could influence crowd support and fighter morale. The event takes place under KSW, a popular European promotion, attracting significant local attention.
  • Both fighters are motivated to secure victories in a major promotion event to advance their standing. Makarowski may have extra incentive performing in front of a home crowd, while Paiva looks to solidify his international reputation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Welisson_Paiva: +105, Mateusz_Makarowski: -110, Draw: +2500 Mateusz Makarowski β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread Welisson_Paiva_-1.5: +150, Mateusz_Makarowski_+1.5: -180 Mateusz Makarowski +1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over_2.5_Rounds: -120, Under_2.5_Rounds: +100 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Welisson Paiva's more consistent and favorable fight record, combined with his well-rounded fighting style, he is predicted to win by a decision or late finish, although Makarowski's home advantage and durability might make this competitive.

Predicted Score: Welisson Paiva wins by decision or submission in round 3 or later


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Mackson Lee vs. Enrique Hecher Sosa Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Mackson Lee vs Enrique Hecher Sosa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-17
  • Time: 1:55 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

A Bantamweight main card fight in Dana White's Contender Series between undefeated Mackson Lee (9-0) and Enrique Hecher Sosa (13-1). Both fighters are promising prospects looking to solidify their place in the UFC.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mackson Lee is undefeated with a 9-0 record, showing strong striking and submission skills with 1 KO and 3 submissions wins but no decision wins. Enrique Hecher Sosa has a 13-1 record with a balanced finish rate including 6 KOs and 3 submissions, and 4 decision wins indicating durability and endurance. Both fighters are currently on winning streaks with 5 consecutive wins each.
  • No recorded previous encounters between Mackson Lee and Enrique Hecher Sosa, making this their first match.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter prior to the match.
  • The fight takes place under Dana White's Contender Series spotlight, which adds high motivation for both fighters to perform well and secure a UFC contract.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated as this contest is a key opportunity to advance their careers. Lee is an undefeated prospect aiming to maintain his perfect record, while Sosa has only one loss and seeks to prove his resilience and skill at a high level.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mackson Lee: -140, Enrique Hecher Sosa: 120 Mackson Lee β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under over 1.5 rounds: -155, under 1.5 rounds: 135 Over 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mackson Lee -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mackson Lee is favored to win due to his undefeated status, physical advantages in height (185 cm vs 172 cm) and reach (72.8 cm vs 67.7 cm), and balanced skill set. However, Enrique Hecher Sosa’s experience and finishing power represent a genuine threat. Prediction favors Lee by decision or late finish.

Predicted Score: Mackson Lee by unanimous decision or third round TKO


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Iwo Baraniewski vs. Mahamed Aly Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Iwo Baraniewski vs Mahamed Aly – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-16
  • Time: 1:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series, unspecified venue

Game Overview

This Dana White's Contender Series Season 9 Week 6 bout features undefeated Polish judo champion Iwo Baraniewski (5-0, 100% finish rate) against Brazilian Mahamed Aly, a light-heavyweight with notable knockout power and multiple ways to win. Aly holds a marginal advantage in height, reach, and power, though Baraniewski has battered all opponents to date. Both possess grappling skills that may neutralize each other. Aly's record has some wins over less challenging opponents, while Baraniewski's wins are clean though against less proven fighters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Baraniewski is undefeated with 60% KO and 40% submission finishes, showing dominance in his fights but lack of exposure to top-tier opponents. Aly has notable head-kick knockouts and a win over Jared Gooden but overall faces questions about strength of schedule.
  • This is their first encounter, no direct head-to-head data available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the match.
  • Fight taking place on Dana White's Contender Series, which is an intense platform for fighters to secure UFC contracts, likely increasing motivation and performance pressure.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a UFC contract; Aly may have a slight edge with demonstrated finishing versatility and previous higher-profile wins.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Iwo Baraniewski: +170, Mahamed Aly: -200 Mahamed Aly β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 1.5: +105, Under 1.5: -125 Under 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mahamed Aly -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mahamed Aly is favored to win due to his slight physical advantages and more diverse finishing methods. However, Iwo Baraniewski’s undefeated status and finishing skills mean an upset is possible if he can land clean strikes early.

Predicted Score: Mahamed Aly wins by late first-round KO or second-round TKO


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In Soo Hwang vs. Paddy Mccorry Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: In Soo Hwang vs Paddy Mccorry – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-17
  • Time: 12:40 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

The middleweight matchup between In Soo Hwang and Paddy McCorry at Dana White's Contender Series features an intriguing stylistic clash. Hwang is a powerful striker with six career KOs but limited recent finishing success, while McCorry has a significant size advantage, wrestling prowess, and a high fight IQ focusing on takedowns and control.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hwang (8-1) holds a strong record with knockout power but limited recent finishes and a suspect chin. McCorry (6-1) shows a diverse skill set with wins by KO, submission, and decision and consistent ability to control opponents on the mat.
  • No prior matchups between the two fighters exist; however, McCorry's reach and height advantage (6'3" vs. 5'11") is a significant factor anticipated to influence the fight.
  • No reported injuries to either fighter leading up to the bout.
  • This is Hwang's US debut after limited recent activity (four fights in five years), while McCorry is coming in younger and hungrier with more consistent competition exposure in the UFC Contender Series framework.
  • Both fighters are motivatedβ€”Hwang to prove his power and durability on a larger stage, McCorry to continue his rise with a high fight IQ strategy focusing on wrestling dominance and late-round control.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline In Soo Hwang: 155, Paddy McCorry: -180 Paddy McCorry β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread In Soo Hwang: +1.5, Paddy McCorry: -1.5 Paddy McCorry -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 1.5: -160, Under 1.5: 140 Over 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Paddy Mccorry -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 -3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Paddy McCorry is favored to win by unanimous decision or a second-round TKO due to his size, wrestling superiority, and fight IQ. Hwang remains dangerous with knockout power early but is expected to be frustrated by McCorry's takedown and control tactics.

Predicted Score: Paddy McCorry wins by unanimous decision after three rounds or TKO in round two.


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Cody Chovancek vs. Raphael Uchegbu Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Cody Chovancek vs Raphael Uchegbu – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-17
  • Time: 12:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, USA

Game Overview

This bantamweight MMA bout features undefeated Canadian wrestler Cody Chovancek (8-0) facing off against the experienced English striker and grappler Raphael Uchegbu (10-1) in Dana White's Contender Series Week 6. Uchegbu boasts a height and reach advantage at 5'10", combined with a balanced record of 4 KOs and 5 submissions, while Chovancek depends heavily on wrestling and aggressive entries but has shown some defensive vulnerabilities against long-range striking.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Raphael Uchegbu trains with Team Kaobon and has sharpened defensive and counter-wrestling skills, while Chovancek has trained with Patchy Mix, an elite wrestler, who may help improve his grappling and submission offense.
  • This is the fighters' first encounter, so no direct head-to-head record exists. However, Uchegbu's sole career loss was to a wrestler, suggesting a potential area of vulnerability should Chovancek implement effective wrestling control.
  • No publicly disclosed injuries for either fighter prior to the match.
  • The fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue for both competitors. Uchegbu’s cardio and striking volume advantage potentially favors him in a fast-paced contest, while Chovancek’s aggressive style requires careful range management.
  • Chovancek is highly motivated seeking a finish, stating intent to go for knockout or submission, indicative of an aggressive mindset. Uchegbu aims to utilize his technical striking and grappling improvements to secure a decision or late stoppage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cody Chovancek: +155, Raphael Uchegbu: -180 Raphael Uchegbu β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -135, Under 2.5 rounds: +115 Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Raphael Uchegbu -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Raphael Uchegbu is favored to win by decision or late stoppage, leveraging his reach, refined striking, and evolved grappling defense. Chovancek’s path to victory lies in successfully implementing wrestling control and finishing the fight, but Uchegbu's experience and range control make him the likelier victor.

Predicted Score: Uchegbu wins by decision after three full rounds


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Thomas Gantt vs. Adam Livingston Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Thomas Gantt vs Adam Livingston – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-17
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, USA

Game Overview

The lightweight bout between Thomas Gantt and Adam Livingston is part of Dana White's Contender Series Week 6. Gantt holds a 4-0 undefeated record with a perfect KO rate and is favored on the moneyline. Livingston, meanwhile, is undefeated 3-0 with a diverse finishing ability, noted for his power and knockout threat. Both fighters have never faced each other before, with contrasting fighting styles and respective strengths in wrestling/grappling (Gantt) and explosive striking power (Livingston).

Key Factors to Consider

  • Thomas Gantt has a 4-0 record, all wins by KO, demonstrating strong finishing ability primarily by ground and pound. Adam Livingston is 3-0 with 2 KOs and 1 decision, showing a mix of striking and endurance. Gantt's wrestling background gives him an edge in grappling control and takedown success, though Livingston's power makes him dangerous standing.
  • This is their first meeting; no previous head-to-head data is available.
  • No injury information available for either fighter prior to the match.
  • Venue is UFC Apex in Las Vegas, which is neutral ground for both fighters. No reported external factors such as travel stress or recent fights impacting performance.
  • Both fighters are looking to advance their careers on Dana White's Contender Series, with strong motivation to win for UFC contract consideration. Gantt appears confident with his grappling and finishing style while Livingston aims to capitalize on his knockout power.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Adam_Livingston: 142, Thomas_Gantt: -176 Thomas Gantt β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Spread Thomas_Gantt_-1.5: -120, Adam_Livingston_+1.5: 100 Thomas Gantt -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under over_1.5_rounds: 110, under_1.5_rounds: -130 Over 1.5 Rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Thomas Gantt 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Thomas Gantt at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Thomas Gantt is predicted to win by a ground and pound TKO or KO, leveraging his wrestling credentials and ability to handle Livingston's power early before taking momentum on the ground.

Predicted Score: Thomas Gantt wins by TKO in Round 2


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Diego Lopes vs. Jean Silva Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Diego Lopes vs Jean Silva – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 12:40 AM UTC
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, Texas

Game Overview

This featherweight UFC main event features Diego Lopes (26-7-0) facing off against Jean Silva (16-2-0). Lopes is a seasoned fighter with a slight height and reach advantage, known for his grappling and submission prowess. Silva is undefeated in the UFC, with a high finishing rate and notable striking accuracy. The fight is expected to be a clash between Lopes' grappling and Silva's striking and takedown defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lopes averages fewer strikes landed per minute (3.70) than Silva (4.87) and absorbs more strikes per minute (4.76 vs. 4.13). Lopes is stronger in submissions (1.9 attempts per 15 minutes) but has lower takedown accuracy (40%) and defense (67%) compared to Silva's 50% takedown accuracy and 86% takedown defense. Silva is undefeated in UFC, finishing his past five opponents, showing high finishing capability.
  • There are no direct past meetings between Lopes and Silva recorded; this will be their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter going into the bout, indicating both are likely to perform at peak condition.
  • The fight is held at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, giving a neutral venue with no apparent external pressure on either fighter. Weather and travel are unlikely to affect performance significantly.
  • Lopes, having recently lost a featherweight title shot to Volkanovski, looks to rebound and reestablish himself near the top of the division. Silva, undefeated in UFC and on a kill streak, aims to maintain momentum and possibly propel himself to title contention.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Diego Lopes: 195, Jean Silva: -238 Jean Silva β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Diego Lopes: 5.5 120, Jean Silva: -5.5 -165 Jean Silva -5.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -166, Under: 2.5 130 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jean Silva -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 38%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jean Silva is favored to win due to his undefeated UFC run, superior striking accuracy, and takedown defense, which neutralizes Lopes' grappling strengths. Silva's finishing ability and technical striking offer a decisive edge, leading to a likely victory within three rounds.

Predicted Score: Jean Silva wins by TKO in Round 2


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Rafa Garcia vs. Jared Gordon Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Rafa Garcia vs Jared Gordon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 12:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Noche 3 (Venue unspecified in sources)

Game Overview

This UFC lightweight bout features Rafa Garcia (17-4) against Jared Gordon (21-7-0 with 1 No Contest). Garcia is a slightly shorter but longer reach fighter known for his grappling with a high takedown average and defense. Gordon is a taller, more accurate, and higher volume striker with competent wrestling and recent knockout momentum. Both use orthodox stances and weigh 155 lbs, but their styles contrast with Garcia’s grappling emphasis and Gordon’s striking volume and accuracy.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Garcia has a strong grappling game with 3.21 takedowns per 15 minutes and 77% takedown defense allowing control on the mat. Gordon lands more strikes per minute (5.67 vs 4.01) and has better striking accuracy (55% vs 43%) but has lower takedown accuracy (32%) and defense (62%). Garcia tends to absorb more strikes (4.47 vs 3.91) but exerts control through grappling. Recent form: Garcia is 3-2 in last five fights, Gordon also around similar with momentum from a recent knockout win.
  • No record of previous direct fights between Garcia and Gordon available, so no historical head-to-head data for direct comparison.
  • No reported injuries or health issues for either fighter leading into this match.
  • Fight is scheduled for UFC Noche 3, a notable event likely to motivate both fighters to perform well in a high-profile matchup. No environmental or venue-related external impacts reported.
  • Both fighters display strong motivation: Gordon coming off a knockout win recently, aiming to impose striking dominance, while Garcia aims to leverage grappling control to neutralize Gordon’s striking. Their records and trajectories suggest both are highly motivated to assert their skills and advance ranking.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jared Gordon: -250, Rafa Garcia: +205 Rafa Garcia to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Jared Gordon: -3.5 (100), Rafa Garcia: +3.5 (-140) Rafa Garcia +3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -330, Under 2.5 rounds: +240 Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jared Gordon 86%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 0%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Jared Gordon at 86% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rafa Garcia is predicted to win by grappling control and probable decision or late stoppage, using takedowns and ground control to limit Jared Gordon’s striking effectiveness. Garcia’s takedown accuracy and defense against Gordon’s moderate wrestling success tip the scales in his favor despite Gordon’s striking superiority.

Predicted Score: Fight likely to go the distance or late in the bout with Garcia edging a decision win, estimated outcome: Rafa Garcia wins by unanimous decision or late round submission/ground TKO.


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Rob Font vs. David Martinez Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Rob Font vs David Martinez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 12:10 AM UTC
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio

Game Overview

Rob Font, a veteran UFC bantamweight with a 22-8 record, faces David Martinez, a younger and less experienced fighter at 12-1, on short notice at UFC Noche 3. Font is physically bigger with a longer reach, while Martinez shows a higher significant strike accuracy and better strike defense. The bout features a classic experienced fighter versus rising prospect dynamic.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rob Font maintains considerable experience advantage with 22 wins and well-rounded finishes by KO and submission, showing durability (8 losses) and solidity in fights. David Martinez, younger with a 12-1 record, enters as a strong striker with higher strike accuracy (52%) and better defense, but limited UFC experience with only his second official bout.
  • No official previous bouts between Rob Font and David Martinez, making this their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter. Martinez is a short-notice replacement after Font's original opponent pulled out due to injury.
  • Font has navigated multiple opponent changes before and is accustomed to short-notice bouts. Martinez carries strong national pride representing Mexico and aggressively seeks to make a statement, increasing his motivation. The event's location in San Antonio at the Frost Bank Center is neutral ground with no clear home advantage.
  • Font motivated by familiarity with sudden opponent changes and aiming to catch young talent early. Martinez highly motivated by representing Mexico and proving himself in UFC with limited experience.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline David Martinez: 110, Rob Font: -130 Rob Font β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread David Martinez: 3.5 -230, Rob Font: -3.5 165 Rob Font to cover -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -315, Under 2.5: 230 Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rob Font 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rob Font wins via decision or late-round technical knockout due to experience and physical advantages, though Martinez's accuracy and defense keep the fight competitive throughout.

Predicted Score: Rob Font wins by unanimous decision, 29-28 on all scorecards


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