Match Analysis: Justice Torres vs Javier Reyes Rugeles – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-24
• Time: 12:40 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series, Week 7 (venue not explicitly specified)

Game Overview

The fight features Javier Reyes Rugeles (31 years old, 21-5 record) versus Justice Torres (27 years old, 12-3 record) competing at 145 lbs in Dana White's Contender Series Week 7. Both fighters are skilled featherweights with particular strengths: Reyes has a higher number of KOs and submissions; Torres has more decision wins. The fight was a late replacement for originally scheduled opponents, making matchup preparation less stable.

Key Factors to Consider

• Reyes comes in with a 21-5 record, 3-2 in the last five fights, showing recent moderate form. Torres has a 12-3 record with a better recent run of 4-1 in his last five performances. Both have never lost by draw. Reyes shows more finishing ability via KO/TKO and submissions, while Torres wins more often via decisions.
• No previous direct fights between Reyes and Torres have been documented.
• No reported injuries influencing the fight for either fighter according to available data.
• Multiple opponent changes prior to the bout could have impacted fighter camp momentum, particularly for Torres who is a last-minute replacement. The fight is under Dana White's Contender Series spotlight, which creates motivation for UFC contract opportunities.
• Both fighters seek to impress on Contender Series for potential UFC inclusion. Reyes’s longer career and experience may provide confidence; Torres's recent strong form and youth bring high motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Javier Reyes Rugeles: -180, Justice Torres: 155	Javier Reyes Rugeles to win	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -155, Under 2.5 rounds: 135	Under 2.5 rounds (fight likely to end before round 3)	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Javier Reyes Rugeles -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Javier Reyes is predicted to edge out a victory against Justice Torres given his finishing ability and experience, though it will be competitive given Torres’s resilience and recent form.

Predicted Score: Javier Reyes Rugeles wins by TKO or submission in round 2

Match Analysis: Jair de Oliveira vs Rafael Tobias – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-24
• Time: 12:15 AM UTC
• Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas

Game Overview

This light heavyweight MMA bout features Brazilian prospects Rafael Tobias (13-1) and Jair de Oliveira (6-0). Tobias is a taller, well-rounded fighter with strong grappling, solid striking, and a notable submission arsenal, while de Oliveira is an undefeated brawler known for speed and knockout power but with questions about his level of competition and conditioning.

Key Factors to Consider

• Tobias' experience and well-rounded skill set from the Chute Boxe Monstro camp contrasts with de Oliveira's comeback path and limited competition history. Tobias demonstrated effective aggressive striking and grappling, while de Oliveira relies heavily on knockout power and speed but has only fought lesser competition.
• This is their first encounter; no prior head-to-head exists.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
• The fight takes place at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas during Dana White's Contender Series with both fighters seeking to impress for potential UFC contracts. Oliveira is moving down a weight class to 205 lbs, which might affect his conditioning.
• Both fighters are motivated by the opportunity to earn a UFC contract. Tobias appears to have a slight edge given his younger age, activity, and clearer path to a UFC opportunity, while Oliveira aims to prove his viability despite a long layoff and lower competition level.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jair de Oliveira: 325, Rafael Tobias: -390	Rafael Tobias	★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under	over: 207, under: -250	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Rafael Tobias -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rafael Tobias is predicted to win via grappling dominance and submissions, likely in the first or second round, given his height, reach, and ground game superiority. Oliveira poses an early knockout threat but may struggle against Tobias' wrestling and submission attempts.

Predicted Score: Rafael Tobias wins by submission in Round 1 or 2

Deprecated: stripos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /home/betinsight/domains/bettinginsight.pro/public_html/wp-content/plugins/odds based post generator/odds-based-post-generator.php on line 2928

Match Analysis: Michal Dreczkowski vs Adam Tomasik – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: KSW 110 event, Rzeszów, Poland

Game Overview

Michal Dreczkowski and Adam Tomasik face off in the KSW 110 main card fight in the Light Heavyweight division. Both fighters are Polish, similar in height and weight, competing for dominance in this competitive bout.

Key Factors to Consider

• Michal Dreczkowski holds a professional record of 5 wins and 1 loss with 4 KOs and 1 decision win, showing strong striking power. Adam Tomasik has a record of 6 wins and 2 losses, with 2 KOs, 3 submissions, and 1 decision, illustrating a more balanced skill set including submissions. Dreczkowski's recent fights show dominance in KO power while Tomasik has submission prowess.
• No direct previous fights between Michal Dreczkowski and Adam Tomasik are recorded, making this their first encounter. Historical data on their fight styles and outcomes against similar opponents is considered for analysis.
• No known injuries have been reported for either fighter that could impact the bout as of the match date.
• The fight takes place in Poland, which is the home country for both fighters, likely minimizing environmental or travel-related disadvantages.
• Both fighters are competing on a major KSW card, which serves as an important platform for career progression, likely motivating a high-intensity performance from each.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Michal Dreczkowski: -225, Adam Tomasik: +163	Michal Dreczkowski win	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Michal Dreczkowski: -1.5, Adam Tomasik: +1.5	Michal Dreczkowski by more than 1.5 rounds/finish	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds (early fight finish expected)	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michal Dreczkowski edges out as the favorite due to his powerful striking and recent form. However, Adam Tomasik's submission expertise could turn the tide if the fight goes to the ground, making this a competitive matchup.

Predicted Score: Michal Dreczkowski wins via KO/TKO in Round 2

Deprecated: stripos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /home/betinsight/domains/bettinginsight.pro/public_html/wp-content/plugins/odds based post generator/odds-based-post-generator.php on line 2928

Match Analysis: Piotr Kacprzak vs Łukasz Charzewski – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: KSW Event Venue, Poland

Game Overview

This MMA bout features Piotr Kacprzak versus Łukasz Charzewski, two established Polish fighters competing on September 20, 2025, at 17:00 UTC at a KSW event. Both fighters have comparable experience but differ slightly in recent performance and fight outcomes.

Key Factors to Consider

• Piotr Kacprzak holds a professional record of 12 wins and 6 losses, showing solid striking and grappling versatility. Łukasz Charzewski has a slightly better record of 13 wins and 3 losses, with a strong finish rate and recent momentum in KSW promotions.
• There is limited direct head-to-head data publicly available indicating previous fights between Kacprzak and Charzewski, suggesting this may be their first professional encounter.
• No recent injury reports or corner concerns have been noted for either fighter leading into this bout, indicating both are likely at full health.
• The fight takes place in Poland, the home country for both fighters, minimizing travel fatigue and potentially increasing motivation. The bout is scheduled as part of a high-profile KSW event, elevating stakes.
• Both fighters are motivated to improve their rankings and status in KSW, with Charzewski holding a slight edge due to his recent winning streak and slightly better record.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Piotr Kacprzak: -120, Łukasz Charzewski: -110	Łukasz Charzewski	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Piotr Kacprzak: -110, Łukasz Charzewski: -110	Łukasz Charzewski -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -115, Under 2.5 rounds: -105	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Łukasz Charzewski is favored to win based on superior record and recent form. Expect a competitive fight where Charzewski uses striking and aggressive pace to outscore or finish Kacprzak.

Predicted Score: Łukasz Charzewski wins by decision after 3 rounds

Deprecated: stripos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /home/betinsight/domains/bettinginsight.pro/public_html/wp-content/plugins/odds based post generator/odds-based-post-generator.php on line 2928

Match Analysis: Sergiusz Zajac vs Mariusz Książkiewicz – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: KSW 110

Game Overview

The match features Sergiusz Zajac (age 26) facing Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz (age 35) in a light heavyweight MMA bout at KSW 110. Zajac is younger with a slight reach and height advantage. Both fighters have strong records: Zajac is 8-1 with 9 KOs/TKOs and no submissions, while Ksiazkiewicz is 11-2 with balanced KO/TKO and submission wins. The fight showcases a classic striker versus mixed finisher matchup, with Zajac favoring knockouts and Ksiazkiewicz having submission skills as well.

Key Factors to Consider

• Zajac has an 8-1 record with predominant KO/TKO victories (9) and only one loss, demonstrating striking dominance. Ksiazkiewicz holds an 11-2 record with a balanced approach, having 5 KO/TKOs and 5 submissions, indicating versatile offense. Zajac is likely the fresher athlete given his age and fewer career fights.
• No direct previous fight between the two has been recorded, making this a first-time head-to-head encounter.
• No publicly available information or reports of injuries to either fighter before the match.
• The venue is KSW 110, presumably in Europe, likely favoring Zajac who is Polish and fighting in his home region. No data on weather, travel, or other external disruptions.
• Zajac, being younger and less experienced, is likely highly motivated to prove himself against the more experienced Ksiazkiewicz. Ksiazkiewicz, at 35, might be motivated to extend his MMA legacy but could be facing the physical challenges of age.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Zajac: -225, Ksiazkiewicz: +163	Sergiusz Zajac	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Zajac -1.5 rounds: -110, Ksiazkiewicz +1.5 rounds: -110	Zajac covers -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Predicted winner is Sergiusz Zajac by knockout or TKO given his striking advantage, youth, and momentum. Ksiazkiewicz’s submission threat is a key risk factor but Zajac’s superior striking and wrestling defense can neutralize it.

Predicted Score: Zajac wins by TKO in round 2

Deprecated: stripos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /home/betinsight/domains/bettinginsight.pro/public_html/wp-content/plugins/odds based post generator/odds-based-post-generator.php on line 2928

Match Analysis: Rogerio Bontorin vs Vitaliy Yakimenko – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Podpromie Hall, Rzeszów, Poland

Game Overview

The match between Rogerio Bontorin and Vitaliy Yakimenko is a Bantamweight division bout as part of KSW 110 on September 20, 2025. Bontorin, a 33-year-old Brazilian, faces 29-year-old Ukrainian Yakimenko. Both fighters are closely matched in height and reach, but Bontorin has significantly more professional experience and wins (17 vs. 9) and an undefeated record with 5 losses and no draws, compared to Yakimenko's 9-2-0 record. The fight is set to be a key matchup in KSW’s main card.

Key Factors to Consider

• Rogerio Bontorin has a record of 17-5-0 with 3 KOs, 7 submissions, and 3 decisions. Vitaliy Yakimenko has 9-2-0 with a similar distribution of finishes (3 KOs, 4 submissions, 2 decisions). Bontorin’s higher number of fights and wins suggests greater experience in high-level competition.
• This appears to be the first head-to-head meeting between Bontorin and Yakimenko, so no past direct encounter data is available.
• No current injuries reported for either fighter ahead of the bout.
• The fight is held in Rzeszów, Poland, which is neutral ground for both fighters. Both fighters made weight successfully with Bontorin at 125.5 lbs (57 kg) and Yakimenko slightly heavier at 128.5 lbs (58 kg).
• Both fighters are motivated to prove themselves in KSW’s Bantamweight division. Bontorin, with more experience, may have higher motivation to assert dominance and climb rankings, while Yakimenko will look to upset a more experienced opponent, boosting his rising career.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Rogerio Bontorin: -275, Vitaliy Yakimenko: +200	Rogerio Bontorin to win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Rogerio Bontorin: -1.5, Vitaliy Yakimenko: +1.5	Bontorin -1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the data, Rogerio Bontorin’s experience and balanced finishing ability give him the edge over Vitaliy Yakimenko. The prediction favors Bontorin to win by decision or submission, with a moderate to high confidence level.

Predicted Score: Rogerio Bontorin wins by submission in round 3

Deprecated: stripos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /home/betinsight/domains/bettinginsight.pro/public_html/wp-content/plugins/odds based post generator/odds-based-post-generator.php on line 2928

Match Analysis: Tymoteusz Łopaczyk vs Madars Fleminas – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Hala Podpromie, Rzeszów, Poland

Game Overview

This KSW 110 MMA bout features Tymoteusz Łopaczyk and Madars Fleminas competing in the welterweight division. Łopaczyk is known for his aggressive grappling and submission skills, while Fleminas has a balanced skillset emphasizing striking combined with solid grappling defense. Both fighters weigh in at 171 lbs and have similar height and reach, though Fleminas is older with more professional experience. The bout is expected to be a tactical matchup between grappling control and striking effectiveness.

Key Factors to Consider

• Łopaczyk holds a professional record of 13 wins, 3 losses, with a high finish rate via KO/TKO and submissions. Fleminas is 13-7 with a balanced win distribution amongst KOs, submissions, and decisions. Recent form and fight camps appear competitive, with both fighters capable of finishing the fight.
• There is no known previous meeting between Tymoteusz Łopaczyk and Madars Fleminas, making this their first encounter in professional MMA.
• No publicly reported injuries or withdrawals have been noted for either fighter in the lead-up to this match.
• The fight takes place in Rzeszów, Poland, potentially favoring Łopaczyk due to his Polish background and fan support. The event is part of a major KSW card attracting regional MMA attention.
• Łopaczyk, at age 29, is in his athletic prime aiming to solidify his position in KSW's welterweight ranks. Fleminas, at 37, brings veteran experience and may be motivated to prove longevity and skill against a younger contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Łopaczyk's strong grappling base and aggressive style, combined with home advantage and youth, the prediction favors Tymoteusz Łopaczyk to win by submission or ground control. Fleminas's striking presents a credible threat, but Łopaczyk's ability to dictate fight pace likely secures the decision or finish.

Predicted Score: Łopaczyk wins by submission in round 2

Deprecated: stripos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /home/betinsight/domains/bettinginsight.pro/public_html/wp-content/plugins/odds based post generator/odds-based-post-generator.php on line 2928

Match Analysis: Krystian Blezien vs Sasha Moisa – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Podpromie Hall, Rzeszow, Poland

Game Overview

The Lightweight division KSW 110 main card fight features Krystian Blezien, a grappling-oriented fighter, against Sasha Moisa, known for his striking and knockout power. The match is expected to be a classic striker versus grappler matchup, with Blezien looking to control the fight on the ground and Moisa aiming to keep it standing and land decisive strikes.

Key Factors to Consider

• Krystian Blezien has demonstrated strong grappling and control in recent fights, relying on ground techniques and endurance. Sasha Moisa showcases high striking accuracy and power with a record that includes several TKOs and decisions, suggesting effective striking ability. Recent form favors Blezien's grappling but Moisa's finishing ability remains a significant threat.
• There is no recorded previous head-to-head matchup between Krystian Blezien and Sasha Moisa, making this a fresh contest where styles will be crucial.
• No significant injuries have been reported for either competitor leading into this bout, indicating both are expected to compete at full capacity.
• The fight takes place in Poland, potentially giving Krystian Blezien a slight home advantage due to local support and familiar environment.
• Both fighters are motivated to secure a marquee win at KSW 110. Blezien aims to prove grappling dominance while Moisa seeks to showcase knockout power to enhance his profile.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Krystian Blezien: -120, Sasha Moisa: -110	Krystian Blezien	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Blezien -1.5 rounds: -140, Moisa +1.5 rounds: +120	Blezien -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -130, Under 2.5 rounds: +110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the contrast in fighting styles, the prediction leans towards Krystian Blezien winning by controlling the fight on the ground and outpointing Moisa through grappling. However, if Moisa manages to keep the fight standing, his knockout power makes an upset possible.

Predicted Score: Blezien wins via decision or ground-based stoppage around round 3

Deprecated: stripos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /home/betinsight/domains/bettinginsight.pro/public_html/wp-content/plugins/odds based post generator/odds-based-post-generator.php on line 2928

Match Analysis: Szymon Bajor vs Ricardo Prasel – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Hala Podpromie, Rzeszów, Poland

Game Overview

This is a heavyweight division bout in KSW 110: Grzebyk vs. Tulshaev, featuring Polish fighter Szymon Bajor against Brazilian Ricardo Prasel. The fight is scheduled for 3 rounds and marks a key matchup between Bajor's striking-focused style and Prasel's submission skills. Bajor fights on home soil, which may give him an advantage due to crowd support and familiarity with the venue.

Key Factors to Consider

• Szymon Bajor has experience as a former PLMMA Heavyweight Champion and Interim FEN Heavyweight Champion, with a more striking-oriented approach. He has faced recent setbacks in his form with some losses, which might affect confidence. Ricardo Prasel has a solid submission game, evidenced by several submission victories, but he has suffered two defeats recently, including a knockout loss and a submission loss to top KSW opponents.
• No direct head-to-head fights between Szymon Bajor and Ricardo Prasel have been recorded previously, making this a fresh matchup where styles and current form will be crucial.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this bout, making both competitors presumably at full health.
• Fighting in Poland offers Bajor home crowd energy, which statistically favors local fighters in this promotion about 61% of the time in the past two years. However, this can also add extra pressure. The bout is part of a main card event, increasing its significance for both fighters' careers.
• Bajor aims to leverage home advantage and rebound from recent mixed results by showcasing striking prowess. Prasel, after tough losses against elite fighters like Phil De Fries, is motivated to prove his ground game and submission threat can control the contest and reverse his recent negative trend.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Szymon Bajor: +125, Ricardo Prasel: -145, Draw: +2500	Ricardo Prasel by decision or submission	★★★☆☆ 57%
Spread	Bajor -1.5 rounds: -110, Prasel +1.5 rounds: -110	Prasel +1.5 due to his likelihood to survive at least two rounds and seek a late submission	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100	Over 2.5 rounds as the fight is predicted to go full distance with tactical exchanges	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Bajor's home advantage, striking ability, and experience contrasted with Prasel's dangerous submission skills but recent form losses, the prediction leans toward Szymon Bajor winning by decision or knockout. However, if Prasel can bring the fight to the ground early, he holds a solid chance to submit Bajor.

Predicted Score: Decision for Ricardo Prasel or a late submission win in round 3

Deprecated: stripos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /home/betinsight/domains/bettinginsight.pro/public_html/wp-content/plugins/odds based post generator/odds-based-post-generator.php on line 2928

Match Analysis: Daniel Weichel vs Abou Tounkara – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Festhalle Messe Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany

Game Overview

The main event of OKTAGON 76 features German MMA legend Daniel Weichel making his return from a two-year retirement to face aggressive French striker Abou Tounkara in a lightweight bout at Frankfurt's Festhalle. Weichel, a veteran with a record of 42-15, looks to reignite his career on home soil while Tounkara, known for his powerful finishes, aims to upset the hometown hero.

Key Factors to Consider

• Weichel has a vast experience spanning over two decades with 57 professional fights, showcasing high-level skills and durability. Tounkara, with a record of 12-6, demonstrates a high finishing rate with 9 wins inside the distance, indicating significant knockout power and aggression. Both fighters bring veterans’ savvy, but Weichel’s extended elite-level experience contrasts with Tounkara’s momentum and power.
• No direct head-to-head records are available between Daniel Weichel and Abou Tounkara, marking this match as their first encounter.
• There are no reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the fight, and Weichel’s return after retirement appears fully physical and mental despite his previous loss to Mads Burnell in 2023.
• The fight takes place at Weichel's hometown, offering a strong crowd advantage and psychological boost. The event marks a milestone for German MMA, with increasing popularity and OKTAGON’s expansion strategy elevating the stakes for Weichel’s comeback.
• Weichel is highly motivated to prove he can compete at an elite level post-retirement, supported by home crowd energy. Tounkara aims to establish himself by defeating a European MMA legend, providing him strong incentive to fight aggressively and decisively.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Daniel Weichel: -160, Abou Tounkara: +140, Draw: +2000	Daniel Weichel to win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Daniel Weichel -1.5 rounds: +110, Abou Tounkara +1.5 rounds: -130	Daniel Weichel -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -115, Under 2.5 rounds: -105	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Daniel Weichel is favored to win due to his extensive experience, home advantage, and strategic fighting style, but Abou Tounkara’s knockout power presents a significant threat that could sway the outcome. The predicted fight is likely competitive but leans towards Weichel edging a decision or late stoppage.

Predicted Score: Daniel Weichel wins via decision or late-round TKO