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Viviane Araujo vs. Tracy Cortez Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Viviane Araujo vs Tracy Cortez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

The UFC 317 prelims feature a women's flyweight bout between Viviane Araujo and Tracy Cortez. Araujo, a 38-year-old Brazilian fighter with a record of 13-6, looks to capitalize on her experience against Cortez, a younger American fighter with an 11-2 record. Both fighters are orthodox with similar height and reach, but Cortez has a slight edge in recent UFC momentum. The fight is expected to be competitive, with Cortez favored by bookmakers due to her wrestling skills and recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Viviane Araujo has a UFC record of 7-5 and lands 4.04 significant strikes per minute with a 47% connect rate, but absorbs 4.87 strikes per minute and defends 56%. Tracy Cortez holds a UFC record of 5-1, landing 3.72 strikes per minute at the same 47% accuracy, while taking fewer strikes at 3.02 per minute and defending 57%. Cortez's wrestling and ability to avoid damage have been highlighted as key strengths.
  • This will be the first matchup between Viviane Araujo and Tracy Cortez, so no direct head-to-head data is available. Analysis must rely on their respective performances against common opponents and fighting styles.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter leading into this bout, allowing both to compete at full strength.
  • The fight takes place at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, a neutral venue favored for large UFC events. Environmental factors such as crowd support may slightly favor Araujo due to her Brazilian fanbase, but Cortez’s motivation to rebound after a recent underperformance is significant.
  • Tracy Cortez is motivated to overcome a recent loss in a main event bout and is viewed as the underdog with something to prove. Viviane Araujo aims to leverage her experience and maintain momentum in the UFC after a mixed record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tracy Cortez: -250, Viviane Araujo: 205 Tracy Cortez ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Tracy Cortez -3.5: 130, Viviane Araujo +3.5: -180 Tracy Cortez -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -720, Under 2.5: 450 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tracy Cortez -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 285%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 285% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 63.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tracy Cortez is predicted to win the bout due to her superior wrestling, defensive capabilities, and the bookmakers' favoring of her odds. While Araujo’s experience offers a competitive fight, Cortez’s recent performances and ability to control fights give her an edge.

Predicted Score: Tracy Cortez wins by decision, likely unanimous judges' decision within 3 rounds


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Hyder Amil vs. Jose Delgado Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Hyder Amil vs Jose Delgado – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

The upcoming featherweight bout at UFC 317 features Hyder Amil (11-0) facing Jose Delgado (9-1). The fight is part of the prelims on June 28, 2025, at the T-Mobile Arena. Both fighters have strong records, with Amil undefeated and Delgado having one loss, setting up an intriguing matchup of two rising prospects.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hyder Amil is undefeated at 11-0, demonstrating consistent dominance and skill development. Jose Delgado comes in with a 9-1 record, showing strong competitiveness and resilience in previous fights. Both fighters have shown finishing ability and solid technical skills in their careers.
  • There is no record of previous encounters between Hyder Amil and Jose Delgado, making this their first meeting and adding unpredictability to the outcome.
  • No publicly reported injuries from either fighter heading into this bout, implying both are expected to compete at full strength.
  • The bout takes place during UFC International Fight Week with a strong crowd and high energy environment at the T-Mobile Arena, which could influence fighter motivation and performance. Both fighters have expressed strong eagerness and motivation to make a statement on this prominent stage.
  • Hyder Amil, being undefeated, aims to maintain his perfect record and continue his rise in the featherweight rankings. Jose Delgado seeks to avenge his single career loss and establish himself as a top contender by defeating an undefeated opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hyder Amil: +136, Jose Delgado: -162 Jose Delgado ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Hyder Amil +3.5: -120, Jose Delgado -3.5: -110 Jose Delgado -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: +135, Under 2.5 rounds: -175 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jose Delgado -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jose Delgado is favored to win by the bookmakers with better odds and a slight edge in betting lines, though Hyder Amil's undefeated streak and strong performance history make this match competitive and somewhat open. The prediction leans towards Jose Delgado winning by decision or late-round finish due to slightly better betting odds and experience level.

Predicted Score: Jose Delgado wins by unanimous decision or late finish, 3 rounds to 0


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Viacheslav Borshchev vs. Terrance Mckinney Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Viacheslav Borshchev vs Terrance Mckinney – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas

Game Overview

This UFC 317 lightweight bout features Terrance McKinney, a highly aggressive and athletic fighter known for early finishes, versus Viacheslav Borshchev, a crafty striker with defensive wrestling weaknesses. McKinney's style revolves around quick and violent starts aiming for a fast finish, while Borshchev tends to rely on striking counterattacks but struggles defensively against pressure. The match is expected to be action-packed and could end quickly if McKinney achieves an early submission or knockout.

Key Factors to Consider

  • McKinney holds a UFC record of 6-4 with notable fast finishes early in fights, whereas Borshchev has a UFC record of 3-4-1 and tends to have difficulties maintaining defense against aggressive opponents. McKinney lands slightly more significant strikes per minute (5.91 vs. 5.25) with higher accuracy (56% vs. 54%) and absorbs fewer strikes per minute (2.59 vs. 4.77). Borshchev has better strike defense (57% vs. 47%), but overall McKinney's offense and durability metrics favor him.
  • They have no previous direct encounters in UFC or other major MMA promotions, making this a first-time matchup. The striking and wrestling styles suggest a McKinney advantage in pace and finishing ability.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, indicating both will enter in typical physical condition.
  • The fight takes place at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, a neutral venue but one where McKinney has fought multiple times. The atmosphere and event magnitude could motivate both fighters. McKinney's recent social media activity shows strong confidence and readiness.
  • McKinney aims to reassert himself with an emphatic win and maintain momentum in UFC lightweight rankings. Borshchev looks to prove his striking skills and overcome defensive vulnerabilities to gain UFC credibility.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Terrance McKinney: -170, Viacheslav Borshchev: 142 Terrance McKinney ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Terrance McKinney -3.5: -165, Viacheslav Borshchev +3.5: 120 Terrance McKinney -3.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: 170, Under 1.5 rounds: -220 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Viacheslav Borshchev -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Viacheslav Borshchev at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Terrance McKinney is predicted to win, likely by first-round submission or TKO, due to his athleticism, aggressive early fight style, and superior striking stats. However, if the fight extends past the first round, Borshchev could exploit defensive lapses. Overall, McKinney's probability of an early finish is the key deciding factor.

Predicted Score: Fight ends in Round 1 via submission or TKO in favor of Terrance McKinney


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Jackson McVey vs. Christopher Ewert Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jackson McVey vs Christopher Ewert – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

This middleweight bout at UFC 317 features unbeaten prospects Jackson McVey (6-0) and Christopher Ewert (7-0) making their UFC debuts. Both fighters enter the Octagon with perfect records, making this a highly anticipated matchup to see who can maintain their unbeaten streak on a big stage. The fight is part of a stacked prelim card during the International Fight Week in Las Vegas.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both McVey and Ewert are undefeated in their professional MMA careers with records of 6-0 and 7-0 respectively. McVey is noted for his all-around skill set and finishing potential, including both knockouts and submissions. Ewert is competitive and durable, yet may be slightly less versatile than McVey. Neither has UFC experience, so this will test their abilities under the biggest spotlight.
  • This is their first meeting; thus, no direct head-to-head data exists. Both fighters have exhibited impressive performances in regional circuits but will be tested at this higher competitive level.
  • No injury reports or concerns have emerged for either fighter ahead of the bout, suggesting both are fully prepared physically.
  • The fight takes place during UFC International Fight Week at the T-Mobile Arena, a large and high-energy environment that may add pressure to debut fighters. The event is highly publicized, which might benefit those more experienced with big crowds or media attention. McVey seems mentally poised, with external commentary favoring his finishing abilities under pressure.
  • Both fighters are motivated to remain undefeated and make a significant impression in their UFC debuts, which could propel their careers forward rapidly. McVey appears especially driven and confident in his finishing skills, while Ewert aims to prove himself on the global stage as well.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Christopher Ewert: -170, Jackson McVey: 145 Jackson McVey ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: -115, under: -115 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Christopher Ewert 37%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Christopher Ewert at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jackson McVey is predicted to win by KO or submission thanks to his more versatile skill set and potential to finish the fight. His confidence and finishing ability slightly outmatch Ewert's durability and consistency.

Predicted Score: Jackson McVey wins by 1st or 2nd round KO or submission


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Jacobe Smith vs. Niko Price Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jacobe Smith vs Niko Price – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

The UFC 317 event features a welterweight bout between undefeated Jacobe Smith and veteran Niko Price. Smith, a 29-year-old southpaw, holds a perfect 10-0 record and is known for his high striking accuracy and defense. Price, aged 35, brings experience with a 16-8 record, notable reach advantage, and a reputation for power and unpredictability. The fight is set to take place at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on June 28, 2025.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jacobe Smith shows superior striking stats with 7.34 significant strikes landed per minute at 70% accuracy and a strong defense allowing only 1.97 strikes per minute. Niko Price lands 5.21 strikes per minute at 42% accuracy but is more vulnerable, allowing 5.58 strikes per minute and defending 48%. Smith’s undefeated record contrasts with Price’s mixed results, indicating Smith's momentum and control in the cage.
  • No direct head-to-head bouts between Jacobe Smith and Niko Price have been recorded. This will be their first professional encounter, making the fight a test of Smith's undefeated status against Price's experience and toughness.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the fight, suggesting both competitors are at full health.
  • The fight occurs during UFC International Fight Week in a high-profile event in Las Vegas, favoring fighters accustomed to large audiences and pressure. Jacobe Smith appears motivated to maintain his undefeated streak on a big stage, while Price seeks to leverage his veteran savvy to upset the favorite.
  • Jacobe Smith is highly motivated to sustain his perfect record and make a definitive statement in the UFC welterweight division. Niko Price aims to demonstrate he remains a formidable contender capable of derailing rising prospects. The contrasting career trajectories add psychological stakes to the bout.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jacobe Smith: -2100, Niko Price: 1100 Jacobe Smith ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Jacobe Smith: -3.5 -1400, Niko Price: 3.5 600 Jacobe Smith -3.5 ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over 1.5: 190, Under 1.5: -250 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jacobe Smith -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jacobe Smith at -14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jacobe Smith is favored to win by decision or late stoppage due to his superior striking accuracy, defense, and undefeated momentum. Price’s power and experience pose a threat, but Smith’s control and technical skill give him the edge.

Predicted Score: Jacobe Smith wins by decision or stoppage in Round 2 or 3


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Jhonata Diniz vs. Alvin Hines Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jhonata Diniz vs Alvin Hines – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

This UFC heavyweight bout at UFC 317 features experienced UFC fighter Jhonata Diniz (8-1 overall, 2-1 UFC) facing newcomer Alvin Hines (7-0 overall, 0-0 UFC). Diniz is known for his striking skills and fast hands but has shown vulnerabilities against grapplers. Hines, while undefeated, is less experienced at UFC level and is considered a developing heavyweight prospect with solid wrestling and a willingness to stand and strike. The fight is expected to test Hines' ability to handle a more polished and faster UFC striker, while Diniz seeks a rebound win after a loss to a grappler. The bout is set to be a high-intensity heavyweight confrontation with striking exchanges likely to feature prominently.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jhonata Diniz has demonstrated solid striking and a strong start in UFC bouts with two wins, though he has struggled on the ground against top grapplers. Alvin Hines is unbeaten at the regional level, showing promise with balanced striking and wrestling but has yet to face UFC competition.
  • This is the first meeting between Jhonata Diniz and Alvin Hines with no prior head-to-head history.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout.
  • The fight takes place at UFC 317 in Las Vegas, with Diniz having undergone multiple opponent changes this year and not having competed yet in 2025, which may affect ring readiness. Hines enters as a short-notice opponent, which may impact his conditioning and game plan.
  • Diniz looks motivated to secure a quick rebound win after a stoppage loss in his last bout and to solidify his standing in the heavyweight UFC ranks. Hines is highly motivated to make a successful UFC debut and maintain his undefeated record, eager to prove himself on a big stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alvin Hines: +260, Jhonata Diniz: -325 Jhonata Diniz to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Alvin Hines +3.5: 165, Jhonata Diniz -3.5: -225 Jhonata Diniz to win by more than 3.5 points ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -115, Under 1.5 rounds: -115 Under 1.5 rounds (fight ends early) ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jhonata Diniz -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jhonata Diniz is favored to win by a first-round knockout due to his superior striking speed and UFC experience. Alvin Hines poses a test with his wrestling and toughness but is expected to be outmatched by Diniz's level of competition and skill set.

Predicted Score: Jhonata Diniz wins by KO in round 1


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Liam Gittins vs. Alessandro Giordano Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Liam Gittins vs Alessandro Giordano – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: BEC Arena, Manchester

Game Overview

The bantamweight championship rematch between reigning champion Liam Gittins and challenger Alessandro Giordano at Cage Warriors 191 is highly anticipated. Their first encounter in March ended prematurely due to an accidental eye poke in the third round, which led to a No Contest decision. This has created tension and anticipation for a decisive outcome in their June 28th bout at the BEC Arena in Manchester.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Liam Gittins holds a record of 13-4-1NC as the current bantamweight champion, demonstrating strong performance in Cage Warriors. Alessandro Giordano carries a 9-3-1NC record and is coming off a competitive but unresolved first fight with Gittins, showing resilience and skill in his bantamweight division.
  • Their previous fight ended inconclusively due to an accidental foul, with Gittins retaining the title by No Contest. The lack of a clear victor adds a psychological edge and motivation for both fighters in the rematch, making this a highly charged encounter.
  • No reported injuries or physical setbacks for either fighter leading up to the fight have been noted in the available information, suggesting both athletes are likely at full health.
  • The fight takes place at a major Cage Warriors event in Manchester, with significant media attention and fan interest. The rivalry has been intensified by social media exchanges post their first fight, increasing pressure and stakes for both competitors.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated: Gittins aims to definitively confirm his championship status, while Giordano seeks to prove himself and claim the title after their controversial first fight. This rematch is billed as settling unfinished business, fueling intense competitive drive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Liam Gittins: -500, Alessandro Giordano: 300 Liam Gittins to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Liam Gittins: -1.5, Alessandro Giordano: +1.5 Liam Gittins to win by more than 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Over 2.5 rounds (fight lasting beyond mid rounds) ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Liam Gittins -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Liam Gittins at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Liam Gittins' favored status reflected in the odds, his championship experience, and home advantage in Manchester, the prediction leans towards Gittins retaining his bantamweight title. However, the close nature of their first fight and Giordano’s motivation suggest the match will be highly competitive.

Predicted Score: Liam Gittins wins by decision after 5 rounds


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Michael Pagani vs. Tim Wilde Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Michael Pagani vs Tim Wilde – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: BEC Arena, Manchester, Greater Manchester, England

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA match features Michael Pagani facing Tim Wilde at the BEC Arena in Manchester on June 28, 2025. This catchweight bout at 165 lbs is a main card fight at Cage Warriors 191. Both fighters enter with strong motivations with Pagani as a surging prospect and Wilde returning for a high-profile matchup. The fight is highly anticipated locally and has garnered significant attention from Cage Warriors fans.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Michael Pagani is considered a rising prospect with recent momentum in his favor, while Tim Wilde has solid experience and is known for his technical striking and fight IQ. Both fighters have demonstrated resilience and adaptability in their previous bouts, making this matchup closely contested.
  • No detailed historic head-to-head match statistics are available between Pagani and Wilde, suggesting this may be their first encounter at a professional level, which adds an element of unpredictability to the fight outcome.
  • No current injury reports or handicaps were reported for either fighter leading up to the bout, indicating both are expected to compete at full capacity.
  • The fight takes place in Manchester, which may provide a slight home advantage psychologically to Tim Wilde, who is from the Greater Manchester area. Pagani, though younger and on the rise, is fighting away from his home region.
  • Michael Pagani is motivated to prove himself as a top prospect within Cage Warriors, seeking to advance his career with a notable win. Tim Wilde is motivated to leverage his experience and local support to secure a victory on home turf.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Michael Pagani: -130, Tim Wilde: -110 Tim Wilde ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Pagani -1.5: +150, Wilde +1.5: -170 Wilde +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 Rounds: -120, Under 2.5 Rounds: +100 Over 2.5 Rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michael Pagani 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Michael Pagani at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering the live odds and both fighters’ profiles, Tim Wilde holds a slight edge due to home advantage and a more balanced moneyline at -110 vs. Pagani's -130. However, Pagani’s momentum and prospect status imply significant upset potential. The prediction favors a tightly contested bout with Tim Wilde narrowly winning by decision or late stoppage.

Predicted Score: Wilde wins by decision (3 rounds)


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Christian Eckerlin vs. Robert Pukač Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Christian Eckerlin vs Robert Pukač – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Barclays Arena, Hamburg

Game Overview

The main event of OKTAGON 73 features Christian Eckerlin defending his status as Germany’s top MMA star against Robert Pukač, known as 'Bratislava’s Prince.' Eckerlin returns after an eight-month break, coming off a significant win crowning him King of Germany. Pukač enters riding a three-fight win streak, including a KO victory over six-time OKTAGON champion David Kozma, aiming to upset Eckerlin at his home turf in Hamburg.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Eckerlin holds a strong record of 17-6-0 and has proven resilience and dominance in his recent bouts, particularly his triumphant return at the world’s largest MMA event in Frankfurt. Pukač, meanwhile, is on an upward trajectory with momentum from high-profile wins, including a dramatic knockout against a former champion.
  • No direct head-to-head encounters recorded between Eckerlin and Pukač, making this a fresh matchup where momentum, style, and strategy will play critical roles.
  • No public reports of current injuries affecting either fighter ahead of the bout, suggesting both are at full fitness for their showdown.
  • The bout takes place in Hamburg, Germany, offering Eckerlin the advantage of home crowd support. The historic debut of OKTAGON MMA in Hamburg adds additional pressure and excitement to the event. Both fighters are highly motivated given the prestige of the event and the implications for European MMA rankings.
  • Eckerlin aims to maintain his top status and capitalize on the home advantage after a lengthy hiatus. Pukač is highly motivated to continue his winning streak and claim the crown by taking down the reigning King of Germany, fueled by recent high-profile victories.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Christian Eckerlin: -300, Robert Pukač: +220 Christian Eckerlin ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Eckerlin -1.5: -150, Pukač +1.5: +130 Eckerlin -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Christian Eckerlin is favored to win due to home advantage, established reputation, and recent performance, but Robert Pukač's momentum and knockout power present a significant threat, making this a highly competitive bout.

Predicted Score: Christian Eckerlin wins by decision or late stoppage in round 3


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Mariusz Mikolajewski vs. Samir Selmi Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mariusz Mikolajewski vs Samir Selmi – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Manchester, Greater Manchester, England

Game Overview

The bout between Mariusz Mikolajewski and Samir Selmi is scheduled for June 28, 2025, at Cage Warriors 191 in Manchester. It is a welterweight MMA contest at 170 lbs featuring two competitive fighters looking to add a significant win to their records. Mikolajewski enters as the favorite with odds reflecting confidence in his capabilities, while Selmi poses a solid challenge, making this an anticipated clash in the division.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mariusz Mikolajewski has shown consistent performance and is favored due to a stronger recent fight record and home advantage. Samir Selmi is competitive with solid MMA skills but is slightly underdog in this matchup based on current form and betting odds.
  • No recorded prior head-to-head matchups exist between Mikolajewski and Selmi, making direct comparative data unavailable. This adds unpredictability to the outcome.
  • There are no publicly reported injuries affecting either fighter ahead of this match, indicating both are expected to compete at full capacity.
  • The fight takes place in Manchester, giving Mikolajewski a potential home crowd advantage. No other external factors such as weather or travel issues are reported that might influence the fight.
  • Both fighters have strong motivation to cement their status in the welterweight division, with Mikolajewski defending his perceived home advantage and Selmi looking to upset the favorite on hostile ground.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mariusz Mikolajewski: -300, Samir Selmi: 250 Mariusz Mikolajewski ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Mariusz Mikolajewski: -1.5, Samir Selmi: +1.5 Mariusz Mikolajewski to win by more than 1.5 rounds or clear stoppage ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: 1.5 rounds over, under: 1.5 rounds under Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mariusz Mikolajewski -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mariusz Mikolajewski at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mariusz Mikolajewski is predicted to win by decision or late stoppage due to slight physical and tactical advantages combined with home venue support.

Predicted Score: Mariusz Mikolajewski wins by decision (3-0 rounds) or late submission/KO in round 3


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