Match Analysis: Juventude vs Flamengo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-14
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Game Overview
Juventude hosts Flamengo in a Brazilian Serie A match where Flamengo are strong favorites due to superior form, squad quality, and recent dominant performances, including a 6-0 win in the previous H2H meeting this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Flamengo have a strong overall record (14 wins, 5 draws, 2 losses) and are unbeaten in recent matches against Juventude. Juventude's form is weaker (6 wins, 3 draws, 12 losses), especially struggling away from home.
- Earlier this year Flamengo routed Juventude 6-0, reflecting a significant gulf in quality and tactical dominance. Historically Flamengo has consistently outperformed Juventude.
- No major injuries reported for either side; Flamengo maintains full-strength attack and midfield, Juventude missing no key players to materially impact the game.
- Flamengo motivated to maintain top table position with a deep squad and experience, while Juventude battles relegation concerns, increasing pressure but limited upside.
- Flamengo motivated by title challenge and continental qualification, displaying consistency and hunger. Juventude motivated by survival but less capable of upsetting top teams.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Flamengo: -250, Juventude: 675, Draw: 350 | Flamengo | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Spread | Flamengo -1.25: -105, Juventude +1.25: -115 | Flamengo -1.25 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -105, Under 2.5: -115 | Over 2.5 goals | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Flamengo 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 17% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Flamengo moneyline win
Predicted Score: 0-3