Match Analysis: Udinese vs Atalanta BC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Udinese Home Stadium
Game Overview
Udinese hosts Atalanta BC in this Serie A clash. Atalanta are slight favorites with better recent form and stronger odds, but Udinese's home advantage and tendency to draw against Atalanta give this game a competitive balance.
Key Factors to Consider
- Atalanta is favored by bookmakers with approximately 55% implied win probability by odds, reflecting their superior recent form and quality. Udinese remains competitive especially at home with a 29-30% chance to win and a high draw probability between 27-43%.
- Historically, matches have been closely contested with a tendency for draws. Recent data suggests a strong prevalence of draw outcomes and competitive narrow-margin games.
- No specific injury data reported, implying both teams should feature close to full strength, keeping balance intact.
- Standard Serie A environment with no significant external disruptions or extreme weather expected. Motivation levels align with mid-table to upper-table fight intensity.
- Atalanta seeks to extend their form and secure points to maintain or improve league standing. Udinese is motivated to defend home turf and seize points from a strong opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Atalanta BC: -110, Udinese: 305, Draw: 250 | Draw | β β β ββ 60% |
| Spread | Atalanta BC -0.5: -110, Udinese +50: -110 | Atalanta BC -0.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -120, Under 2.5: 100 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Draw 47% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Draw at 47% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Draw on moneyline, Atalanta -0.5 spread, Under 2.5 goals
Predicted Score: 1-1