Match Analysis: San Francisco Dons vs Bradley Braves – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: War Memorial at the Sobrato Center, San Francisco, CA
Game Overview
The San Francisco Dons (2-1) host the Bradley Braves (1-2) in a non-conference NCAA basketball matchup. San Francisco is a strong favorite, both in moneyline and spread, based on superior shooting efficiency, rebounding, and home court advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- San Francisco has averaged 82.7 points per game on 46.4% shooting with 42 rebounds per game, while Bradley averages 71.7 points with 42.9% shooting and 32.3 rebounds. The Dons show better ball movement (17 assists per game vs. Bradley's 12.7 assists) and a more efficient offense overall.
- Bradley leads the all-time series 3-1 and won their last meeting by 2 points on their home court. However, San Francisco has been dominant at home in night games against similar caliber opponents, winning 21 straight.
- No significant injuries reported for either team at this time.
- San Francisco plays at home with crowd support and a physical style that forces turnovers. Bradley's slower pace and defensive focus could keep the game tight.
- San Francisco aims to assert dominance early in the season and protect home court; Bradley looks to rebound from recent losses and is well-coached defensively.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Francisco -465, Bradley +350 | San Francisco | β β β β β 82% |
| Spread | San Francisco -8.5 -110, Bradley +8.5 -110 | San Francisco -8.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 148.5 -110, Under 148.5 -110 | Under 148.5 | β β β ββ 67% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Francisco Dons -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 148.5 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 148.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Francisco Dons to win on the moneyline, cover the spread, and the game to go under the total points line.
Predicted Score: San Francisco 79 – Bradley 67