Match Analysis: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Nashville Predators - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Ericsson Globe, Stockholm
Game Overview
A close NHL matchup between the Pittsburgh Penguins and Nashville Predators, with the Penguins slightly favored due to better form and the advantage of being a more successful road team historically.
Key Factors to Consider
- Pittsburgh Penguins hold a 9-5-4 record, showing stronger recent form (3-2 last 5 games, 4-1 ATS last 5 games) compared to Nashville's 6-9-4. Penguins are notably strong on the road against the spread (9-1).
- Recent head-to-head performances suggest tight games with Penguins having a slight edge covering the spread more frequently on the road and overall better offensive output.
- No significant injuries reported for either team prior to the game, both teams expected to compete with full rosters.
- Game takes place abroad at the Ericsson Globe in Stockholm, which may normalize home-ice advantage influences, somewhat neutralizing typical venue impact.
- Penguins motivated to maintain winning momentum and improve standings; Predators under pressure to improve their below .500 record and cannot afford a loss.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pittsburgh Penguins -132 / Nashville Predators +106 | Pittsburgh Penguins | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Pittsburgh Penguins -1.5 +188 / Nashville Predators +1.5 -240 | Pittsburgh Penguins -1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 6 +100 / Under 6 -124 | Under 6 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pittsburgh Penguins 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 6 -1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Pittsburgh Penguins at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Pittsburgh's consistent performance, strong ATS road record, and slight edge in overall statistics, the prediction is a Penguins moneyline win with the puck line also plausible but less certain. Total goals likely stay Under 6 based on recent games and goaltending performance.
Predicted Score: Penguins 3 - Predators 1
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