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Valeriu Mircea vs. Wilson Varela Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Valeriu Mircea vs Wilson Varela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: KSW Event Venue

Game Overview

Valeriu Mircea faces Wilson Varela in a KSW MMA matchup. Mircea enters as favorite (-220) with slightly better recent form and home advantage, while Varela is an underdog (+185) known for late-fight stoppages, primarily via KO/TKO.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mircea has demonstrated consistent recent performances with a strong ground game and solid defense. Varela's recent wins feature knockout power but have shown occasional stamina concerns in late rounds.
  • No recorded recent direct matchups between Mircea and Varela, making analyses reliant on style and recent performances.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, indicating both are likely at full health and training capacity.
  • Fight taking place at a neutral KSW venue with no significant external pressures or location-based advantages other than Mircea possibly having slight crowd support.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated; Mircea aims to solidify his position as a top contender while Varela seeks to upset the favorite with his dynamic striking.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -220, away: +185 Valeriu Mircea β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread home -1.5 rounds: -140, away +1.5 rounds: +110 Valeriu Mircea -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under over 2.5 rounds: -125, under 2.5 rounds: +105 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Valeriu Mircea -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Valeriu Mircea at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Valeriu Mircea to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Valeriu Mircea wins by decision or late stoppage in round 2 or 3


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Valeriu Mircea vs. Wilson Varela Prediction

Match Analysis: Valeriu Mircea vs Wilson Varela – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-11-15 Time: 3:00 PM UTC Location: KSW Event Venue Game Overview Valeriu Mircea faces Wilson Varela in a KSW MMA matchup. Mircea enters as favorite (-220) with slightly better recent form and home advantage, while Varela is an underdog (+185) known for late-fight […]

MMA/Boxing November 15, 2025 Valeriu Mircea Wilson Varela

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Maciej Kazieczko vs. Adam Masaev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Maciej Kazieczko vs Adam Masaev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: KSW Event Venue

Game Overview

The fight between Maciej Kazieczko and Adam Masaev is a significant KSW matchup featuring two strong mixed martial artists with contrasting recent forms and market expectations. Masaev is the strong favorite on the moneyline indicating perceived dominance, while Kazieczko offers high return odds as the underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Adam Masaev has been in better recent form with consistent victories in KSW, showing well-rounded skills and finishing ability, while Maciej Kazieczko has struggled against higher-tier opponents but remains a resilient competitor.
  • No direct past fights have been recorded between Kazieczko and Masaev, making this their first encounter which adds uncertainty to matchup dynamics.
  • No significant recent injuries reported for either fighter, both appear to be in healthy condition entering this bout.
  • The fight is held in a neutral environment at KSW, with no clear home advantage; travel and other external impacts are minimal.
  • Both fighters are motivated to advance their standing in KSW, but Masaev's recent winning streak and heavier favor in odds suggest higher confidence and momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Adam Masaev: -410, Maciej Kazieczko: 280 Adam Masaev β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Adam Masaev -1.5 rounds: -150, Maciej Kazieczko +1.5 rounds: +130 Adam Masaev -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Adam Masaev -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Adam Masaev at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Adam Masaev wins by moneyline due to superior recent form, skill level, and strong betting market consensus despite the high payout offered on Kazieczko for an upset.

Predicted Score: Adam Masaev wins by TKO in Round 2


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Tomasz Romanowski vs. Alain Van De Merckt Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Tomasz Romanowski vs Alain Van De Merckt – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: KSW 112

Game Overview

Middleweight matchup between Tomasz Romanowski and Alain Van De Merckt at KSW 112. This is a main card fight in the middleweight division featuring two competitors in a major European MMA promotion.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Insufficient detailed statistical data available on recent form, fight records, striking accuracy, takedown defense, submission threat, and performance trends for both fighters.
  • No head-to-head history data available in search results.
  • No injury information available.
  • Fight is scheduled for KSW 112, a major European MMA event. Romanowski appears to be the slight underdog based on current odds.
  • Both fighters competing on a significant main card event, indicating high-stakes opportunity for both competitors.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Romanowski: +105 | Van De Merckt: -145 Van De Merckt β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw -100%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Based on available odds, Van De Merckt is favored. However, insufficient statistical depth prevents a high-confidence directional prediction. The current market pricing suggests Van De Merckt has approximately 59% implied probability of victory versus Romanowski's 49% implied probability, with a slight vig adjustment.

Predicted Score: Unable to predict – insufficient fighter statistics, fighting styles, and historical performance data available. Recommend obtaining: recent fight records, striking/grappling statistics, finish rates, defense metrics, and stylistic matchup analysis before making high-confidence wagers.


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Marian Ziolkowski vs. Marcin Held Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Marian Ziolkowski vs Marcin Held – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: KSW 112

Game Overview

Marian Ziolkowski faces Marcin Held in a lightweight bout at KSW 112. Ziolkowski enters as the betting underdog despite carrying -138 odds at some books, while Held is favored at +105. This matchup features two experienced KSW competitors with contrasting recent trajectories.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ziolkowski demonstrated knockout power in his most recent bout, securing a Round 2 TKO victory over Salahdine Parnasse on May 10, 2025, finishing at 8:54. This recent finish victory suggests strong current form and timing. Held's recent record and performance details are not clearly available in the provided data, limiting direct comparison.
  • No prior head-to-head history is documented in the available information. This is a fresh matchup with no previous encounters to analyze.
  • No injury information is available for either fighter in the provided data.
  • Both fighters compete within the KSW organization, suggesting familiarity with the promotion's rules and environment. The event timing on November 15, 2025 is approximately 2 days away from the current date.
  • Ziolkowski appears motivated following a recent knockout victory, potentially riding momentum. Held enters as the betting favorite, suggesting bookmakers view him as the stronger technical matchup or more experienced fighter at this stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ziolkowski +100 / Held -140 Marian Ziolkowski Victory β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marian Ziolkowski 16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Marian Ziolkowski at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marian Ziolkowski presents significant value as an underdog. His recent knockout finish demonstrates current offensive capability and timing, while Held's recent form remains unclear. At even money (+100), Ziolkowski offers attractive risk-reward for a fighter with demonstrable finishing power.

Predicted Score: Ziolkowski via TKO Round 2


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Wojciech Kawa vs. Hugo Deux Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Wojciech Kawa vs Hugo Deux – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Szczecin, Poland

Game Overview

Wojciech Kawa faces Hugo Deux in a 155 lbs bout at KSW 112 in Szczecin, Poland. Both fighters are active in the European MMA scene, with Kawa favored by oddsmakers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Wojciech Kawa is a moderate favorite with a strong record and recent activity, while Hugo Deux has shown finishing ability but less experience at the top level. Deux has a 50% finish rate in his last two fights, but Kawa has more consistent decision wins.
  • No prior H2H matchup exists between Kawa and Deux.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Fight takes place in Poland, giving Kawa a home advantage and crowd support.
  • Kawa is likely motivated to defend his home turf and maintain his status as a top KSW lightweight. Deux is looking to break through against a higher-ranked opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -150, away: 110 Wojciech Kawa β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread home: -1.5, away: +1.5 Wojciech Kawa -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under over: 2.5, under: 2.5 Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Wojciech Kawa -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Wojciech Kawa at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Wojciech Kawa wins by decision in a close, tactical fight.

Predicted Score: Wojciech Kawa wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Kamil Szkaradek vs. Oleksii Polischuk Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kamil Szkaradek vs Oleksii Polischuk – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: KSW 112, Poland

Game Overview

Kamil Szkaradek faces Oleksii Polischuk in a bantamweight MMA bout at KSW 112. Both fighters are ranked in the KSW bantamweight division, with Polischuk favored by oddsmakers due to recent form and higher finish rate.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Oleksii Polischuk has won 4 of his last 5 fights, all by finish (3 KO/TKO, 1 submission). Kamil Szkaradek is 2-2 in his last 4, with both losses coming against top-5 KSW bantamweights. Polischuk holds a significant edge in striking accuracy and takedown defense.
  • No previous meetings between the two fighters.
  • No public reports of injuries for either fighter. Both are listed as healthy and active.
  • Polischuk is fighting outside his home country (Ukraine), but has competed in Poland before. Szkaradek has home crowd support, but recent Polish fighters have underperformed against international competition at KSW.
  • Polischuk is seeking a top-3 KSW ranking with a win. Szkaradek is fighting to avoid a third loss in four fights and maintain relevance in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 115, away: -155 Oleksii Polischuk β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread home: +1.5, away: -1.5 Oleksii Polischuk -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under over: 190, under: -230 Over β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 71%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oleksii Polischuk 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Oleksii Polischuk at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oleksii Polischuk wins by finish (KO/TKO or submission) within three rounds.

Predicted Score: Oleksii Polischuk defeats Kamil Szkaradek via TKO in Round 2


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Patryk Kaczmarczyk vs. Adam Soldaev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Patryk Kaczmarczyk vs Adam Soldaev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Netto Arena, Szczecin, Poland

Game Overview

KSW 112 interim featherweight championship bout between #1 ranked Patryk Kaczmarczyk (12-3) and #2 ranked Adam Soldaev (10-2). This is a 5-round championship fight for the interim KSW featherweight title. Kaczmarczyk is fighting for the interim belt after losing to Robert RuchaΕ‚a in 2024, while Soldaev arrives with a three-fight winning streak and has finished 6 of 10 wins by stoppage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kaczmarczyk: 12-3 record with 3 KOs (20%) and 2 submissions (13%), 7 decisions (47%). Last fought January 2025, defeating Ahmed Vila. Competed in KSW since 2021 with 6 wins in 9 fights. Earned two bonuses for best fights and one for best knockout. Soldaev: 10-2 record with 6 KOs (60%) and 1 submission (8%), 3 decisions (25%). Currently riding three-fight winning streak with 7 of 10 wins by stoppage, 6 of which in the first round.
  • First meeting between these fighters. Met face-to-face immediately after Soldaev's last fight to seal the matchup.
  • Kaczmarczyk was scheduled to return in July 2025 but an injury prevented him from competing against Leo Brichta. Current injury status unclear.
  • This is the fourth time KSW has held an event in Szczecin. Championship-level bout carries added pressure and motivation for both competitors.
  • Kaczmarczyk seeking redemption after losing interim title shot in 2024. Soldaev attempting to claim the interim title on the momentum of three consecutive wins. Both fighters are highly motivated for a title opportunity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Soldaev -170 | Kaczmarczyk +130 Adam Soldaev β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Adam Soldaev 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Adam Soldaev at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Adam Soldaev to win via knockout or submission. Soldaev's superior striking efficiency (60% finishing rate vs 20%) and first-round dominance pattern (6 of 7 stoppage wins in round one) provide significant edge against a returning Kaczmarczyk with recent injury concerns and lower output efficiency.

Predicted Score: Adam Soldaev wins Round 2 via TKO (Stoppage 3:45)


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Krystian Kaszubowski vs. Dawid Kuczmarski Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Krystian Kaszubowski vs Dawid Kuczmarski – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: KSW Event Venue (exact location not specified)

Game Overview

Krystian Kaszubowski faces Dawid Kuczmarski in a welterweight main card KSW fight featuring contrasting styles: Kaszubowski with a striking and stand-up advantage versus Kuczmarski's strong grappling background.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kaszubowski has shown reliable striking and stand-up control in recent bouts, maintaining a consistent form. Kuczmarski excels in grappling and ground control but has slightly less finishing power from stand-up.
  • No documented direct head-to-head matchup found, making recent form and style matchup the main analytic focus.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both are at full health.
  • Both fighters compete in KSW, a significant promotion providing a motivated platform. Weight and conditioning reported normal for match day.
  • Both fighters motivated to climb rankings; Kaszubowski may have marginally higher motivation due to recent wins and home crowd advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -135, away: -105 Krystian Kaszubowski β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Kaszubowski -1.5 rounds: -150, Kuczmarski +1.5 rounds: +130 Kaszubowski -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: +120, Under 2.5 rounds: -140 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Krystian Kaszubowski 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Krystian Kaszubowski at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline prediction favors Krystian Kaszubowski due to stand-up control and consistency. Spread favors Kaszubowski to win by decision or stoppage within 3 rounds. Over/Under set with expectation of moderate fight length, favoring Under 2.5 rounds due to grappling battles potentially slowing pace.

Predicted Score: Kaszubowski wins by decision or TKO within 3 rounds


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Cedric Lushima vs. Wojciech Janusz Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Cedric Lushima vs Wojciech Janusz – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Netto Arena, Szczecin, Poland

Game Overview

This KSW 112 lightweight bout features Cedric Lushima (6-1) facing Wojciech Janusz (14-8) in a main card match at 91 kg. Lushima enters on a strong recent form with a high finishing rate and solid grappling, while Janusz brings greater experience but less consistent results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cedric Lushima holds a superior recent record (6-1) compared to Janusz's mixed outcomes (14-8). Lushima's style features a balanced offense with 2 KOs and 3 submissions, showing finishing ability. Janusz, although more experienced, has a higher loss ratio and fewer finishes recently.
  • No recorded head-to-head bouts between Cedric Lushima and Wojciech Janusz.
  • No reported injuries affecting either fighter leading up to the bout, with both confirmed to make weight and compete at full capacity.
  • Fighting at Netto Arena in Szczecin provides a neutral venue with no significant home advantage. Both fighters have comparable travel circumstances and no reported external distractions.
  • Lushima, ranked #10 in the division, appears motivated to solidify his rise within KSW. Janusz’s longer career and recent inconsistent performances may somewhat diminish his momentum and drive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cedric Lushima -300, Wojciech Janusz +200 Cedric Lushima β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Cedric Lushima -1.5 rounds (-150) Cedric Lushima -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-110), Under 2.5 rounds (-110) Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cedric Lushima -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Cedric Lushima at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cedric Lushima wins by knockout

Predicted Score: Cedric Lushima wins by KO in round 2


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Lany Silva vs. Charles Oliveira Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Lany Silva vs Charles Oliveira – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 12:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Rio

Game Overview

Charles Oliveira returns to Brazil to face Lany Silva in a lightweight bout. Oliveira is coming off a dominant submission win over Mateusz Gamrot, while Silva is a rising but unproven contender.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Oliveira has shown elite grappling and finishing ability, submitting Gamrot in the second round. Silva has solid striking but lacks Oliveira's experience and submission prowess.
  • No previous encounters between Silva and Oliveira.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Oliveira is undefeated in Brazil and enjoys strong home support. Silva is stepping up in competition for the first time.
  • Oliveira is motivated to maintain his dominance in Brazil and position himself for another title shot. Silva is looking to make a statement against a top-tier opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -200, away: 150 Charles Oliveira β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread home: +1.5, away: -1.5 Charles Oliveira -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under over: Over 2.5 rounds, under: Under 2.5 rounds Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Charles Oliveira 75%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Charles Oliveira at 75% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 50% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Charles Oliveira wins by submission in the second round.

Predicted Score: Charles Oliveira defeats Lany Silva via submission (rear-naked choke) at 3:12 of round 2.


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