Match Analysis: Tennessee Volunteers vs North Florida Ospreys – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Knoxville, Tennessee
Game Overview
The Tennessee Volunteers, ranked No. 20, host the North Florida Ospreys in a matchup featuring Tennessee's strong home performance and dominance in the SEC versus North Florida's rebuilding phase under a new coach.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tennessee is 2-0, coming off a 95-56 rout of Northern Kentucky with standout freshman Nate Ament averaging 20.5 points and 8.5 rebounds. North Florida is 0-1 after a heavy 104-64 loss to No. 3 Florida, struggling offensively with just 31.1% shooting.
- This is the first meeting between Tennessee and North Florida; no previous head-to-head data exists.
- No major injuries reported for either team; Tennessee's key players are fully available, including freshman star Nate Ament.
- Tennessee has a strong home court advantage with a 16-1 record at home last season, while North Florida has shown road struggles with 7-10 away record last year.
- Tennessee aims to maintain momentum and secure a dominant win early in the season, motivated by high national ranking and home support. North Florida seeks to rebound from a tough loss and prove progress under new coaching.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -400 (Tennessee), +2800 (North Florida) | Tennessee Volunteers | β β β β β 90% |
| Spread | -110 on both sides | Tennessee Volunteers -40.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | -110 for both over and under 153.5 | Over 153.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 153.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 153.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on Tennessee Volunteers to win on the moneyline and cover the large 40.5-point spread; expect the total points to go over 153.5 given Tennessee's offensive firepower and North Florida's defensive weaknesses.
Predicted Score: Tennessee Volunteers 95 – North Florida Ospreys 54