Match Analysis: Los Angeles Clippers vs Denver Nuggets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 3:40 AM UTC
- Location: Intuit Dome, Inglewood, California
Game Overview
The Denver Nuggets (8-2) visit the Los Angeles Clippers (3-7) with Denver favored by 2.5 points. Nuggets show strong offensive efficiency and a solid road record as favorites, while the Clippers struggle with recent form and defensive consistency.
Key Factors to Consider
- Denver averages 124 points per game on 50.7% shooting, allowing 110.7 points; Clippers score 109.7 points and concede 114 points per game. Denver is on a 4-game winning streak; Clippers have lost 5 straight games.
- Nuggets have covered the spread in their last four games as favorites and have an advantage against Clippers, who have failed to cover spread in last 7 games against Northwest Division including Denver.
- No significant key injuries reported for either team affecting starters; both teams have relatively healthy rosters.
- Game played at Clippersβ home court (Intuit Dome), where Clippers typically perform better, but currently on a 4-game home losing streak.
- Nuggets motivated to extend their road dominance and maintain winning streak; Clippers seek to break losing skid with home crowd support and rest advantage.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -146 (Denver), +124 (Clippers) | Denver Nuggets | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | -2.5 -112 (Nuggets), +2.5 -108 (Clippers) | Denver Nuggets -2.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 225.5 -110 / Under 225.5 -110 | Over 225.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Denver Nuggets 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 225.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 225.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Denver Nuggets moneyline to win outright
Predicted Score: Denver Nuggets 118 – Los Angeles Clippers 109