Match Analysis: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Los Angeles Kings – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 7:10 PM UTC
- Location: PPG Paints Arena
Game Overview
Los Angeles Kings face the Pittsburgh Penguins in a pivotal non-conference matchup at PPG Paints Arena. The Kings enter as favorites, but the Penguins are strong at home and boast the league's top power play. Both teams are trending in opposite directions, with the Penguins surging and the Kings struggling defensively.
Key Factors to Consider
- Los Angeles Kings are 6-5-4, averaging 2.73 goals scored (25th) and 3.07 allowed (14th). Pittsburgh is 9-4-3, with a league-best 35.9% power play and solid home record. The Kings have lost 3 of their last 5, while the Penguins have won 4 of their last 5, including a recent back-to-back win.
- Kings lead the last 10 meetings 5-3-2, but Penguins have won the last 3, including a 4-2 win in the first matchup this season. Penguins have momentum in the series.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- Pittsburgh is playing at home, where they are 4-1-1. The Kings are on the road, where they are 5-1-2. The Penguins are on a back-to-back, but just played Saturday, so fatigue is a minor concern.
- Pittsburgh is fighting for a top spot in the Metropolitan, while the Kings are trying to climb in the Pacific. Both teams are motivated, but the Penguins have more to gain with a win at home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 136, away: -162 | Pittsburgh Penguins | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Spread | home: -192, away: 160 | Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Over/under | over: 114, under: -135 | Over | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Los Angeles Kings 25% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 6.5 24% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Los Angeles Kings at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Pittsburgh Penguins win outright, cover the spread, and the game goes over the total.
Predicted Score: Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Los Angeles Kings 3