Match Analysis: Appalachian St Mountaineers vs North Carolina Central Eagles – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Holmes Convocation Center, Boone, NC
Game Overview
Appalachian State Mountaineers host North Carolina Central Eagles in a non-conference NCAAB matchup. Appalachian State enters with a 1-1 record and strong offensive output, while North Carolina Central is 0-2 with significant defensive struggles. The Mountaineers are heavy favorites at home, with a spread of -8.5 and a total set at 132.5.
Key Factors to Consider
- Appalachian State averages 79.0 PPG and allows just 64.0 PPG, showing strong offensive efficiency and defensive discipline. North Carolina Central is scoring only 64.0 PPG while allowing 97.5 PPG, indicating major defensive vulnerabilities and poor recent form.
- Appalachian State won the last meeting 79-74 in overtime, demonstrating a competitive edge and ability to close out tight games against NCCU.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- Game is played at Appalachian State's home venue, providing a strong home-court advantage. The Mountaineers have won their last home game by a large margin (92-46).
- Appalachian State is motivated to build momentum after a close win and a loss, while North Carolina Central is seeking its first win after two blowout losses and may be low on confidence.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -395 | Appalachian St Mountaineers | β β β β β 82% |
| Spread | -108 | Appalachian St Mountaineers -8.5 | β β β β β 76% |
| Over/under | -112 | Over 132.5 | β β β β β 74% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Appalachian St Mountaineers 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 132.5 29% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 132.5 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Appalachian State Mountaineers will win comfortably, covering the spread and pushing the total above 132.5 points due to NCCU's defensive struggles and App State's offensive firepower.
Predicted Score: Appalachian State 78, North Carolina Central 62