Match Analysis: Washington Wizards vs Dallas Mavericks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 12:10 AM UTC
- Location: Capital One Arena
Game Overview
The Dallas Mavericks (2-7) face the Washington Wizards (1-8) in a matchup between two struggling teams. Both sides are on losing streaks, with Dallas seeking to break a four-game slide against Washington, who have lost seven straight. The game is expected to be high-scoring, with a total line set at 229.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Dallas has struggled defensively, allowing 114.2 points per game, while Washington has been poor on both ends, ranking near the bottom of the league in points scored and allowed. Both teams have shown offensive flashes but lack consistency.
- Washington won the most recent meeting 117-107, hitting 15 threes and scoring 20 points at the line. Dallas won both matchups last season. The over has hit in 8 of the last 10 meetings.
- Dallas is missing Kyrie Irving (knee), Anthony Davis (leg), and Dereck Lively II (knee), with Dante Exum also day-to-day. Washington has Kyshawn George (illness) and Bilal Couilibaly (leg) listed as day-to-day.
- Dallas is on a three-game road skid and missing key players. Washington is at home but has been poor defensively and offensively. The game is expected to be played at a fast pace.
- Both teams are desperate for a win to stop losing streaks, but Dallas has more talent and motivation to avoid a fifth straight loss to Washington.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 142, away: -170 | Dallas Mavericks | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | home: -105, away: -115 | Dallas Mavericks -3.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | over: -112, under: -108 | Over 229.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dallas Mavericks 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 229.5 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 229.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Dallas Mavericks win and cover the spread, with the over hitting.
Predicted Score: Dallas Mavericks 117, Washington Wizards 115