Match Analysis: FC Utrecht vs Ajax - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 11:15 AM UTC
- Location: Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
Game Overview
A high-stakes Eredivisie clash between hometown FC Utrecht and top-tier Ajax, expected to be competitive with balanced home advantage and strong attacking potentials from both sides.
Key Factors to Consider
- FC Utrecht holds a moderate home form with 50% wins in last 10, while Ajax's away form is less consistent with 20% wins but high draw rate (50%). Ajax leads the table but has recent challenges including a 3-0 Champions League loss and league draws.
- Ajax dominates recent historical matchups with 10 wins to Utrecht's 4 over 17 matches, including a 4-0 win earlier this year. Both teams regularly score in these encounters.
- No critical injuries reported affecting starting lineups significantly for either side; squads appear near full strength.
- Ajax has experienced fatigue with recent European matches and suffered defensive lapses, while Utrecht looks fresher after a 1-1 Europa League draw but lower possession matches.
- Ajax currently fourth in the league, motivated to regain top form and secure European qualification. Utrecht sits sixth, motivated for home points to close gap and improve standing.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ajax: 142, FC Utrecht: 171, Draw: 255 | Ajax | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Ajax 0: -122, FC Utrecht 0: 102 | Ajax 0 spread (win or draw) | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 3: 102, Under 3: -122 | Under 3 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ajax 33% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3 9% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Ajax at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ajax moneyline win
Predicted Score: 1-2
This Pick Releases in 309 Minutes!
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