Match Analysis: Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Maryland Terrapins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: SHI Stadium, Piscataway, NJ
Game Overview
Rutgers Scarlet Knights (4-5, 1-5 Big Ten) host Maryland Terrapins (4-4, 1-4 Big Ten) in a critical matchup for bowl aspirations, with Rutgers slight favorite at home following last season's 31-17 road victory over Maryland.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rutgers enters off a 35-13 road loss to Illinois, showing defensive vulnerabilities but historically slightly stronger at home; Maryland is on a 4-game losing streak, including a heavy 55-10 home loss to Indiana, indicating offensive struggles.
- Rutgers won last season’s head-to-head 31-17 on the road; in the last six meetings, Maryland holds a 4-2 edge, but recent momentum favors Rutgers.
- No major injury reports publicly available that drastically affect starters; both teams appear relatively healthy.
- Game played at Rutgers’ home stadium offering a slight crowd advantage; no significant weather or travel concerns reported.
- Both teams are motivated to reach bowl eligibility; Rutgers at 4-5 needs a win to stay in contention, while Maryland at 4-4 also needs momentum, but recent form favors Rutgers’ motivation.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Maryland Terrapins: +110, Rutgers Scarlet Knights: -130 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Maryland Terrapins +2.5: -112, Rutgers Scarlet Knights -2.5: -108 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights -2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 57.5: -105, Under 57.5: -115 | Under 57.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rutgers Scarlet Knights 6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 57.5 12% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 57.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rutgers Scarlet Knights to cover the -2.5 spread and win outright due to stronger motivation, home advantage, and Maryland's poor recent form.
Predicted Score: Rutgers 24 – Maryland 17