Match Analysis: Internacional vs Bahia – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 9:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Beira-Rio, Porto Alegre
Game Overview
A competitive Brazilian Serie A clash where home side Internacional hold a mild advantage based on recent form and home performance against struggling Bahia, who have poor away form and are conceding frequently.
Key Factors to Consider
- Internacional have won 50% of their last 10 home matches and score regularly, while Bahia have lost 70% of their last 10 away matches, often conceding multiple goals.
- Recent encounters at Internacional's home have been low-scoring with Bahia’s last win being a narrow 1-0 away victory; historically, 2-0 is a common home scoreline for Internacional.
- No major injury concerns reported for either side that would significantly impact the starting lineups.
- The match is played at Internacional’s home ground, which provides them a tangible home advantage. No notable weather or travel disruptions reported.
- Internacional are motivated to secure home points to improve league standing, while Bahia struggle to find form and confidence away from home, recently suffering heavy defeats.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 131, draw: 215, away: 215 | Internacional | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | home: 100, away: -120 | Internacional -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | over: -110, under: -110 | Over 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Internacional 34% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.25 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Internacional at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Internacional to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.25 spread, and for the match to go over 2.25 goals
Predicted Score: 2-1