Match Analysis: St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs Bradley Braves – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-03
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Rock Hill Sports & Event Center
Game Overview
St. Bonaventure Bonnies host Bradley Braves in a non-conference NCAAB matchup. Both teams enter the season with new rosters and coaching strategies, making early-season trends critical for handicapping.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bradley showed strong defensive discipline in exhibition play, limiting opponents to under 65 points per game. St. Bonaventure struggled with offensive consistency, averaging just 68 points in their preseason contests.
- Bradley has won 4 of the last 5 meetings, including a 7-point road win in their most recent matchup two seasons ago. The average margin in those games is 5.2 points.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of October 31, 2025.
- Game is played at a neutral site, but St. Bonaventure is listed as the home team. Early season games often see inflated scoring due to defensive lapses and roster turnover.
- Bradley is motivated to prove themselves after a disappointing previous season, while St. Bonaventure seeks to rebound from a losing record and reestablish their program.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bradley Braves: -126, St. Bonaventure Bonnies: 105 | Bradley Braves | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | Bradley Braves: -1.5 -110, St. Bonaventure Bonnies: 1.5 -110 | Bradley Braves -1.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | Over: 143.5 -115, Under: 143.5 -105 | Under 143.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bradley Braves 8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 143.5 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 143.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bradley will win outright and cover the -1.5 spread, with the game finishing under the total due to strong defensive play and early-season inefficiency.
Predicted Score: Bradley 68, St. Bonaventure 65