Match Analysis: Gil Vicente vs Santa Clara – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-03
- Time: 8:45 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Game Overview
Gil Vicente hosts Santa Clara in a Liga Portugal clash with both teams showing mixed form. Gil Vicente is strong at home, while Santa Clara struggles away but has shown recent improvement.
Key Factors to Consider
- Gil Vicente has won 5 of their last 6 matches and 3 of their last 4 at home. Santa Clara has won 3 of their last 6 overall but only one away game in that stretch. Gil Vicente averages 1.25 goals scored and 0.5 allowed at home, while Santa Clara averages 0.71 scored and 1.14 allowed on the road.
- Gil Vicente leads the all-time H2H 10 wins to 11, with 6 draws. In recent years, Santa Clara has won 9 of the last 20 meetings, but Gil Vicente has dominated at home, winning 3 of the last 4 home H2Hs.
- No major injuries reported for either side.
- Gil Vicente is playing at home, where they have a strong record and have kept 6 clean sheets in their last 9 home matches. Santa Clara is inconsistent on the road, with only one win in their last 6 away games.
- Gil Vicente is fighting for a top-half finish and is in 5th place, while Santa Clara is battling relegation and needs points to climb out of the bottom half.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | 137 | Gil Vicente | ★★★★☆ 74% |
| Spread | 100 | Gil Vicente -0.25 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Over/under | 105 | Under 2 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Gil Vicente 37% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2 17% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Gil Vicente at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Gil Vicente will win outright, cover the -0.25 spread, and the match will stay under 2 goals.
Predicted Score: 2-0