Match Analysis: New Orleans Pelicans vs Boston Celtics - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-28
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
Game Overview
The Boston Celtics (0-3) visit the New Orleans Pelicans (0-2) aiming to end their losing streak. The Pelicans are slight favorites at home with a narrow spread. The game features contrasting styles: Boston plays a slow pace defense with strong interior defense, limiting opponent free throws and points in the paint, while the Pelicans have struggled offensively this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Pelicans have a 0-2 start showing subpar offense averaging around 110.1 points per game. Celtics are 0-3 with a lethargic pace but solid defense limiting opponentsβ scoring opportunities.
- Recent two meetings earlier this year were won narrowly by Boston by two and one point respectively, showing tight contests with totals near 230 points.
- No major injuries reported affecting key players in either team, allowing both squads to field their usual rotations.
- Game at Pelicansβ home court, Smoothie King Center, but Boston's defensive prowess and pace control suppress scoring opportunities.
- Both teams seek their first win to stop negative streaks. Bostonβs three-game losing streak adds urgency, potentially motivating them more to perform underdog role.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boston Celtics: +120, New Orleans Pelicans: -142 | Boston Celtics | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | Boston Celtics +2.5: -108, New Orleans Pelicans -2.5: -112 | Boston Celtics +2.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | Over 232.5: -110, Under 232.5: -110 | Under 232.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boston Celtics 28% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 232.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Boston Celtics at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boston Celtics moneyline upset with under total as defense and slow pace dominate scoring opportunities.
Predicted Score: Boston Celtics 119 - New Orleans Pelicans 114
This Pick Releases in 143 Minutes!
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