Match Analysis: Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-19
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City, KS, USA
Game Overview
Sporting Kansas City hosts Houston Dynamo in the 2025 MLS season finale. Sporting Kansas City has struggled with a 0-5 run in their last five matches, placed 14th in the Western Conference. Houston Dynamo, while slightly better in form, has only one win in their last five games and shows inconsistent performance. Both teams have offensive capabilities, indicating potential for multiple goals.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sporting KC is on a losing streak with five consecutive losses and a poor defensive record (70 goals conceded), while Houston Dynamo has been more balanced but inconsistent, with only one win in their last five matches.
- Historically balanced with 57 matches played: 21 home wins for Sporting KC, 20 away wins for Houston, 16 draws. Last meeting ended 3-1 in favor of Houston. Matches average about 2.72 goals.
- No specific injury reports found, but key defensive players may be missing affecting Sporting KC's poor form.
- Sporting KC plays at home with extra motivation due to Fan Appreciation Night and home support advantages. Weather or travel factors minimal.
- Both teams lack playoff motivation as neither is competing for a postseason spot, potentially reducing intensity but possibly encouraging offensive freedom.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Houston Dynamo: 154, Sporting Kansas City: 151, Draw: 275 | Houston Dynamo | β β β ββ 58% |
Spread | Houston Dynamo +50: -192, Sporting Kansas City -0.5: 143 | Houston Dynamo +0.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Over/under | Over 3.5: 116, Under 3.5: -154 | Over 3.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Houston Dynamo 32% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.5 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Houston Dynamo at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Houston Dynamo; Spread: Houston Dynamo +0.5; Over/Under: Over 3.5 goals
Predicted Score: 2-3