Match Analysis: Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Montreal Alouettes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Mosaic Stadium, Regina, SK
Game Overview
The Saskatchewan Roughriders, leading the CFL standings at 10-2 and favored to ultimately win the Grey Cup, host the 5-7 Montreal Alouettes. Saskatchewan has strong home advantage and a superior recent form, while Montreal struggles with consistency and key offensive production.
Key Factors to Consider
- Saskatchewan Roughriders are 10-2 this season showing dominant offensive and defensive performances. Montreal Alouettes have gone 5-7, recently losing 26-9 to Hamilton with limited QB and offensive output.
- Historically, Saskatchewan has been the stronger team in this matchup, especially at home. The Riders have won most recent encounters convincingly.
- No major injuries reported for Saskatchewan. Montreal's offense shows signs of stagnation possibly linked to form issues and minor player performance dips but no critical injuries listed.
- Playing at Mosaic Stadium gives Saskatchewan a solid home field advantage with strong fan support. Weather expected to be typical for early fall in Regina, unlikely to negatively impact gameplay materially.
- Saskatchewan is highly motivated to maintain league lead and continue as Grey Cup favorites. Montreal strives to improve playoff hopes but are underdogs and coming off a demoralizing defeat.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Montreal Alouettes: +300, Saskatchewan Roughriders: -385 | Saskatchewan Roughriders | β β β β β 82% |
Spread | Montreal Alouettes: +7.5 -110, Saskatchewan Roughriders: -7.5 -110 | Saskatchewan Roughriders -7.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Over/under | Over: 51.5 -102, Under: 51.5 -120 | Over 51.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Saskatchewan Roughriders -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 51.5 19% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Saskatchewan Roughriders to win straight up, cover the -7.5 spread, and the total score to go over 51.5 points.
Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 31 – Montreal Alouettes 20