Match Analysis: UCLA Bruins vs New Mexico Lobos - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Rose Bowl, Pasadena, California
Game Overview
The UCLA Bruins, struggling with an 0-2 record and significant defensive struggles, face the New Mexico Lobos, who are at 1-1. UCLA is heavily favored both on the moneyline and spread due to superior talent and home advantage, but recent performance and form highlight vulnerabilities.
Key Factors to Consider
- UCLA has lost its first two games with poor defensive showings, allowing nearly 500 yards to Utah and only mustering 220 yards offensively in the last game. Conversely, New Mexico is 1-1, showing a balanced offense with 371 yards in their last game, but still less consistent overall.
- Historical matchups favor UCLA, with the Bruins typically dominating this series, but no recent direct data to indicate the competitiveness of this 2025 meeting.
- No specific injury reports noted for either team in available data, suggesting both teams likely have their main rosters available.
- Game at the Rose Bowl provides UCLA home-field advantage with good weather conditions (72Β°F, 0% rain, 4 mph wind), conducive to typical high-scoring and passing game.
- UCLA fights to avoid a 0-3 start and potential season derailment; New Mexico aims to prove competitiveness on the road and build momentum after split season start.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | UCLA -720, New Mexico +500 | UCLA | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | UCLA -15.5 -114, New Mexico +15.5 -106 | UCLA -15.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 52.5 -115, Under 52.5 -105 | Under 52.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | UCLA Bruins -11% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 52.5 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UCLA moneyline; the Bruins will leverage talent and home advantage for a clear win despite recent struggles.
Predicted Score: UCLA thirty-two, New Mexico fourteen
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