Match Analysis: Bahia vs Cruzeiro – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-12
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Bahia Home Stadium (Exact venue not specified)
Game Overview
Bahia hosts Cruzeiro in a Brazilian Serie A match with Bahia slightly favored at home. Both teams have been relatively competitive recently, with Bahia showing stronger home form and Cruzeiro being modest on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bahia has shown better recent form and stronger results at home; Cruzeiro’s away record is mixed with under 2.5 goals common in recent matches.
- Historically balanced with 62 encounters; last match ended 2-0 to Cruzeiro. Both teams have scored in roughly half of past matchups.
- No critical injury information available from current data, implying mostly full squads for both teams.
- No major external disruptions noted; normal playing conditions expected.
- Mid-table fight likely motivating both sides; Bahia playing at home with slight edge in morale.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Bahia: +110, Cruzeiro: +280, Draw: +210 | Bahia | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Bahia -0.5: -115, Cruzeiro +50: -105 | Bahia -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: +110, Under 2.5: -130 | Under 2.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Bahia 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Bahia at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bahia to win moneyline, Bahia -0.5 spread, Under 2.5 goals
Predicted Score: 1-0