Match Analysis: Benfica vs Santa Clara – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-12
- Time: 7:15 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio da Luz, Lisbon
Game Overview
Benfica, sitting 4th with a perfect record of 3 wins, hosts Santa Clara, who reside in 10th place with 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Benfica's strong early season home form and historical dominance against Santa Clara make them heavy favorites.
Key Factors to Consider
- Benfica has won all their matches so far, including a recent 3-0 home win, and boast a goal difference of 6:1. Santa Clara just secured their first league win, showing some improvement but remain limited offensively.
- Benfica has won the majority of recent encounters, scoring three or more goals in three of the last four meetings, dominating at home with 24 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 27 home league games.
- No major injury reports available for either team suggesting near full-strength squads.
- Playing at Estádio da Luz with strong home crowd support benefits Benfica. No notable external disruptions reported.
- Benfica aims to maintain their perfect start and push into higher league positions; Santa Clara look to gain points to climb from mid-table.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Benfica -410 / Santa Clara +1000 / Draw +475 | Benfica | ★★★★☆ 85% |
Spread | Benfica -1.75 100 / Santa Clara +1.75 -120 | Benfica -1.75 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.75 -105 / Under 2.75 -115 | Over 2.75 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Benfica -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 33% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Benfica win on the moneyline, covering the spread, and over 2.75 goals expected.
Predicted Score: 3-0