Match Analysis: New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-10
- Time: 11:06 PM UTC
- Location: Yankee Stadium, The Bronx, New York
Game Overview
The New York Yankees (80-64) host the Detroit Tigers (83-62) in a key late-season MLB matchup with playoff implications for both teams. The Yankees have solid home form, while the Tigers are competitive on the road. Probable starters are Carlos Rodon (3.12 ERA) for the Yankees and Jack Flaherty (4.85 ERA) for the Tigers.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Yankees are 6-4 in their last 10 games, scoring about 4.9 runs per game but facing some inconsistency from bullpen and offense against quality pitching. The Tigers are 83-62 overall with a solid pitching staff ERA of 3.88 and key hitter Riley Greene leading the offense. Tigers bats have cooled recently, especially against strong pitching.
- The Tigers won the last meeting 12-2, but historically the Yankees lead with 69 wins versus 67 for the Tigers. Yankees have a stronger home record (36 wins) compared to Tigers' 28 road wins. Offense is slightly better from the Yankees side with 4.44 average runs per game at home versus Tigers' 4.11 away.
- No notable injuries reported affecting starting pitchers or key offensive players for either team, making both lineups near full strength.
- The game is played at Yankee Stadium favoring the home team with crowd support. Weather and travel conditions are stable and should not affect play.
- Both teams are fighting for playoff positioning in a tight race. The high stakes should motivate strong performances, especially from the Yankees at home.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | New York Yankees: -168, Detroit Tigers: +142 | New York Yankees | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | New York Yankees -1.5: +116, Detroit Tigers +1.5: -140 | New York Yankees -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 8: -120, Under 8: -102 | Under 8 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Yankees -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8 19% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York Yankees moneyline win, Yankees -1.5 run spread, under 8 total runs
Predicted Score: Yankees 5 – Tigers 3