Match Analysis: Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-06
- Time: 12:40 AM UTC
- Location: Coors Field, Denver, Colorado
Game Overview
The San Diego Padres (76-64) travel to Coors Field to face the low-performing Colorado Rockies (39-101), with the Padres seeking to rebound from a recent four-game losing streak while maintaining a playoff push.
Key Factors to Consider
- Padres are the stronger team all season with a solid 76-64 record but struggling with recent form, losing four consecutive games. Rockies have one of the worst records in MLB, 39-101, showing consistent offensive and pitching struggles.
- Historically, Padres dominated recent encounters at Coors Field with decisive wins (10-2 on 08/04/2024 and 7-3 on 08/16/2024). Padres' pitching and hitting have outmatched Rockies repeatedly in recent matchups.
- No key injuries reported affecting either starting pitchers or major lineup players for this game.
- Coors Fieldβs high altitude generally favors scoring, but Padresβ strong pitching and Rockies' poor offensive and pitching stats reduce expected scoring. Weather conditions are typical for early September in Denver with no adverse impact forecasted.
- Padres motivated to end their losing streak and solidify playoff positioning, while Rockies have minimal motivation, nearly locked into the worst MLB record with little postseason hope.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Padres -241 | Rockies +193 | San Diego Padres | β β β β β 85% |
Spread | Padres -1.5 -176 | Rockies +1.5 144 | San Diego Padres -1.5 | β β β β β 78% |
Over/under | Over 11 -121 | Under 11 -101 | Under 11 total runs | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | San Diego Padres -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 11 19% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 11 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Diego Padres moneyline win
Predicted Score: Padres 6 - Rockies 3
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