Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-06
- Time: 12:16 AM UTC
- Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri
Game Overview
The St. Louis Cardinals host the San Francisco Giants in a closely contested MLB matchup featuring rookie starting pitchers Michael McGreevy (Cardinals) and Carson Seymour (Giants). The Giants come into the game on a strong recent run with a 9-1 stretch, while the Cardinals have hovered around .500. Both teams are fighting for playoff positioning, making this a high-stakes September contest.
Key Factors to Consider
- Giants are red-hot with a 9-1 run in their last 10 games, showing momentum and motivation. Cardinals have a mediocre form around .500, with slightly better pitching stats from McGreevy compared to Seymour.
- Limited recent head-to-head data for these rookie pitchers, with McGreevy having a slight edge in experience and performance against Giants-related lineups. Overall team splits are close, making the game competitive.
- No significant injuries reported for either team impacting starting pitching or key offensive players.
- Game played at Busch Stadium favors Cardinals slightly due to home advantage. Weather and stadium factors predict a moderately low-scoring game.
- Giants are motivated to continue their wild card push and have fresh momentum. Cardinals need a home win to remain competitive in playoffs race, adding to game intensity.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -102 (Giants), -116 (Cardinals) | Giants | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | -1.5 Giants +162, +1.5 Cardinals -196 | Cardinals +1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 8 -110, Under 8 -110 | Under 8 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | San Francisco Giants 3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Francisco Giants moneyline
Predicted Score: Giants 3 – Cardinals 2