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Next: St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Penrith Panthers Prediction (September 6, 2025, 5:00 am) in 26 minutes - Unlock Now

St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Penrith Panthers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Penrith Panthers - Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: WIN Stadium, Wollongong

Game Overview

Penrith Panthers are clear favorites with strong recent form and championship pedigree, but St George Illawarra Dragons have home ground advantage and potential for an upset at WIN Stadium. Expect a competitive, moderately scoring match with defensive intensity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Panthers hold dominant season form with an 81% win probability according to advanced simulations, while Dragons have been inconsistent but can leverage home crowd and underdog motivation.
  • Panthers generally stronger historically, but Dragons have caused surprise upsets at WIN Stadium. Current power rankings favor Panthers (8) over Dragons (15).
  • No specific injury reports available; assume typical NRL fitness with slight edge to Panthers in squad depth.
  • Dragons play at home in Wollongong, a venue known for upsets which may provide intangible advantage. Panthers face travel and high expectations.
  • Dragons have high motivation to prove themselves and avoid a season-ending disappointment, while Panthers seek continuation of dominance and championship momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +410, away: -575, draw: +2500 Penrith Panthers ★★★★☆ 81%
Spread panthers_minus_15_5: -120, dragons_plus_15_5: -110 Penrith Panthers -15.5 ★★★★☆ 77%
Over/under over_49_5: -115, under_49_5: -115 Under 49.5 points ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers to win straight up with a convincing margin.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 28 - St George Illawarra Dragons 12

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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Penrith Panthers Prediction

Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Penrith Panthers – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-09-06 Time: 5:00 AM UTC Location: WIN Stadium, Wollongong Game Overview Penrith Panthers are clear favorites with strong recent form and championship pedigree, but St George Illawarra Dragons have home ground advantage and potential for an upset at WIN Stadium. Expect […]

Penrith Panthers Rugbyleague September 6, 2025 St George Illawarra Dragons

MORE FROM NRL

Sydney Roosters vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Sydney Roosters vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-05
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium

Game Overview

Sydney Roosters and South Sydney Rabbitohs face off in Round 27 of the NRL at Allianz Stadium. The Roosters have been moderately inconsistent this season but possess a clear edge in recent form and head-to-head history. The Rabbitohs have struggled badly, especially in their last five games, with low motivation competing outside finals contention.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Roosters hold a mid-table position (10th) with a 44% win rate and moderate recent form (WLWLL). Rabbitohs are low-ranked (17th) with a 32% win rate and have lost their last five games straight.
  • Historically close but favoring Roosters with 13 wins vs Rabbitohs 10 in 23 clashes. Recent analytics model simulation favors the Roosters with 83% win probability.
  • No explicit major injuries noted in current data, suggesting both teams likely fielding close to full strength.
  • Home advantage at Allianz Stadium benefits the Roosters; Rabbitohs show low motivation due to positioning outside finals qualification.
  • Roosters motivated to climb standings and secure finals berth; Rabbitohs essentially out of contention and on a losing streak, lowering morale.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Roosters -385, Rabbitohs +325, Draw +2200 Sydney Roosters ★★★★☆ 83%
Spread Roosters -12.5 (-105), Rabbitohs +12.5 (-125) Sydney Roosters -12.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 50.5 -145, Under 50.5 +110 Over 50.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sydney Roosters 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 50.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sydney Roosters will win convincingly and cover the spread in a moderately high-scoring game.

Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 28 – South Sydney Rabbitohs 14


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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-05
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Lottoland, Sydney

Game Overview

The Manly Warringah Sea Eagles host the New Zealand Warriors in an NRL Round 27 clash at Lottoland. The Sea Eagles enter favored based on recent form and statistical models with expectations of a competitive match but a home victory.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly Sea Eagles have a strong recent form with a 62% predicted win chance per an independent machine learning model, whereas the Warriors have had some heavy losses including a 36-16 defeat to Manly earlier this season.
  • The Sea Eagles defeated the Warriors 36-16 in their last meeting in March 2025; historical data indicates Manly generally have the edge at home.
  • No significant injury reports impacting key starters for either team have been noted, suggesting both teams will be near full strength.
  • Playing at home in Sydney benefits Manly with crowd support and familiar conditions, while the Warriors must travel internationally.
  • With the season nearing the playoffs, the Sea Eagles aim to consolidate their position while the Warriors fight to stay competitive; Manly have slightly higher motivation given their stronger standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly -190, Warriors +164, Draw +1900 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Manly -5.5 -115, Warriors +5.5 -115 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 48.5 -115, Under 48.5 -115 Over 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles moneyline win

Predicted Score: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 28 – New Zealand Warriors 18


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Brisbane Broncos vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Brisbane Broncos vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-04
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium

Game Overview

The Brisbane Broncos are hosting the Melbourne Storm in a late season NRL Round 27 matchup. Both teams have shown strong form, with the Broncos slightly favored at home to edge out the Storm in a competitive contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Recent analytics and simulations indicate the Broncos have a 56% chance of winning, leveraging strong home form and consistent scoring over recent games[1]. The Storm remain a solid opponent with a 44% chance, known for their tactical discipline and defensive strength.
  • Historically, matches at Suncorp Stadium see Brisbane with a slight edge over Melbourne, who have had mixed results away from home this season. The Broncos have capitalized on key moments in previous encounters to secure wins by narrow margins[1].
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that would materially impact first-choice lineups, preserving typical strengths on both sides.
  • Weather conditions are expected to be stable and unlikely to influence game flow or scoring dynamics. Venue atmosphere favors Brisbane as the home crowd is known for strong support.
  • Both teams are motivated; Broncos are pushing for ladder positioning late in the season, while Melbourne Storm are aiming to maintain top-tier status and momentum into finals.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +100, away: -117, draw: +1900 Brisbane Broncos ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread home: -120, away: -110 Brisbane Broncos -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over: -115, under: -115 Under 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Brisbane Broncos at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brisbane Broncos to win on the moneyline and cover the -1.5 spread, with the game total going under 48.5 points.

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 24 – Melbourne Storm 20


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Dolphins vs. Gold Coast Titans Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Dolphins vs Gold Coast Titans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium

Game Overview

The Dolphins host the Gold Coast Titans in an NRL Round 26 matchup at Suncorp Stadium. Both teams have struggled recently, with the Dolphins on a three-game losing streak and the Titans on four consecutive losses. The Dolphins still hold a historical advantage in this derby, with 4 wins in 5 encounters. The game is crucial for the Dolphins to keep finals hopes alive while the Titans fight to avoid the wooden spoon.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins have lost their last three matches, including a heavy 58-30 loss to Manly, but they have a potent offense led by Jamayne Isaako (246 points) and Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow (17 tries in last 11 home games). The Titans have conceded 82 points in their last two games at Suncorp and have lost four straight, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Dolphins dominate the recent derby series 4-1. The last meeting was a decisive 36-10 win for Dolphins. Titans winger Phillip Sami has scored four tries vs Dolphins in recent clashes but Titans overall reliability in this matchup is low.
  • No major injury news significantly impacting starting lineups reported. Dolphins hooker Jeremy Marshall-King is set to make his 150th appearance and remains a key attacking threat.
  • Playing at home at Suncorp Stadium grants the Dolphins slight environmental advantage. No severe weather or other external conditions noted that would alter game dynamics significantly.
  • Dolphins have must-win motivation to stay in finals race; Titans motivation centers on escaping last place, potentially affecting defensive focus and risk-taking.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins -190, Titans +158, Draw +2100 Dolphins ★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread Dolphins -5.5 -120, Titans +5.5 -110 Dolphins -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 54.5 -115, Under 54.5 -115 Over 54.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dolphins 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 54.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 54.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dolphins moneyline win

Predicted Score: Dolphins 30 – Titans 20


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Shark Park

Game Overview

The Cronulla Sutherland Sharks host the Newcastle Knights in Round 26 of the 2025 NRL season, with the Sharks clear favourites due to strong recent form and home advantage, while the Knights continue to struggle with a seven-game losing streak.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cronulla Sharks have won five of their last six games, recently thrashing the Titans 54-22. Newcastle Knights are on a seven-game losing streak and have conceded 176 points in their last four matches.
  • Sharks have dominated recent matchups, winning five of their last six encounters and most recently beating Newcastle 34-14 in April 2025.
  • Cronulla welcome back KL Iro and add Braden Hamlin-Uele to the bench after Cameron McInnes suffered a season-ending injury. Newcastle have no significant changes to their lineup despite poor form.
  • The Sharks benefit from playing at home (Shark Park) with a strong crowd presence. Newcastle face internal turmoil with coach Adam O’Brien reportedly under pressure.
  • Cronulla are motivated to maintain momentum and secure a top-four finish ahead of the finals. Newcastle lack confidence and are under pressure due to their poor form and coaching instability.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -725 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread -115 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -17.5 ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under -115 Over 49.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla Sharks to win straight-up, cover the -17.5 spread, and the game to go over 49.5 points.

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sharks 36 – Newcastle Knights 14


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North Queensland Cowboys vs. Brisbane Broncos Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: North Queensland Cowboys vs Brisbane Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium

Game Overview

The Brisbane Broncos travel to Queensland Country Bank Stadium to face the North Queensland Cowboys in Round 26 of the NRL season. The Broncos are favored by bookmakers and data models given their stronger form and historical edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Broncos show stronger recent form with an estimated 68% win probability from simulation models, reflecting consistency in attack and defense this season while Cowboys have struggled for consistency at home.
  • Broncos have a positive historical head-to-head advantage over the Cowboys, including a recent 26-16 victory earlier this year, giving psychological confidence and tactical familiarity.
  • No significant injury updates reported for either team that would materially affect the outcome.
  • The game being at the Cowboys' home ground adds slight underdog motivation and crowd support, but Broncos are expected to overcome this with superior squad depth.
  • Broncos are motivated to secure finals positioning and maintain momentum while Cowboys seek to upset at home but have less to play for this late in the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos: -197, North Queensland Cowboys: +167, Draw: +2100 Brisbane Broncos ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Broncos -4.5 (-120), Cowboys +4.5 (-110) Broncos -4.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 50.5 (-115), Under 50.5 (-115) Over 50.5 ★★★☆☆ 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 50.5 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brisbane Broncos win moneyline, cover the -4.5 spread, and the total points will go over 50.5.

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 28 – 20 North Queensland Cowboys


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Jubilee Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

A tightly contested NRL matchup between the St George Illawarra Dragons and Manly Warringah Sea Eagles, both teams evenly matched with minor edges for Manly on defense and recent form. The game is expected to be decided by narrow margins with a balanced moderate scoring style.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have shown inconsistency but Manly's recent form and defensive solidity slightly outmatch the Dragons. Both averages in attack are similar, suggesting a close game.
  • Historically a dead-even matchup with marginal advantages; recent head-to-heads are split with no clear dominance.
  • No major standout injuries reported affecting key positions for either side.
  • Game played at Jubilee Stadium favors the Dragons due to home-ground advantage, but crowd influence may be countered by Manly's resilience.
  • Both teams are fighting for momentum late in the season, adding competitiveness and intensity to the match.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly -109, St George -109, Draw +2000 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Manly -1.5 +105, St George +1.5 -130 Manly Sea Eagles -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 48.5 -115, Under 48.5 -115 Under 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles to win moneyline

Predicted Score: Manly Sea Eagles 24 – 20 St George Illawarra Dragons


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Canberra Raiders vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium, Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders host the Wests Tigers in Round 26 of the 2025 NRL season, with the Raiders heavily favored based on recent form and predictive models.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders enter the match with strong recent form and an 81% win probability from advanced simulations, while the Wests Tigers continue to struggle with inconsistent performances in 2025.
  • Historical encounters favor the Raiders with consistent wins, contributing to a dominant psychological edge and better matchup dynamics against the Tigers.
  • No major injuries reported for Canberra, maintaining full-strength squad; Wests Tigers also have no significant injury concerns but possess less depth.
  • Playing at home in Canberra provides a significant advantage including familiar conditions and local crowd support, which historically boosts Raiders' performance.
  • Raiders likely motivated to secure a strong finish to the regular season and secure playoff positioning; Tigers have lower stakes but will aim to frustrate a stronger opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -500 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 81%
Spread -105 Canberra Raiders -14.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under -115 Over 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canberra Raiders to win outright, cover the -14.5 spread, and the game to go over 49.5 points

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28 – 14 Wests Tigers


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Melbourne Storm vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-29
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Melbourne Rectangular Stadium, Melbourne, Australia

Game Overview

Melbourne Storm hosts Sydney Roosters in a pivotal NRL matchup at their home ground. Both teams have a competitive history, but Storm hold a notable home advantage and recent form edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm have won 33 of 52 meetings against Sydney Roosters historically, showing dominance. Recently, Storm defeated Roosters 34-30 in July 2025, indicating good form. Both teams have been scoring near the predicted total points range.
  • Storm lead overall H2H with 33 wins to Roosters' 19. Recent clashes are closely contested but favor Melbourne at home.
  • No significant injury reports for either side that would impact starting key players, maintaining a balanced competition.
  • Melbourne home field advantage is significant with a large supportive crowd expected. Weather conditions forecast are neutral, unlikely to affect gameplay.
  • Melbourne Storm is motivated to consolidate top ladder position; Roosters aiming to break into finals contention, adding competitive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm: -152, Sydney Roosters: 132, Draw: 2000 Melbourne Storm moneyline ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Melbourne Storm -2.5: -115, Sydney Roosters +2.5: -115 Melbourne Storm -2.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 44.5: -115, Under 44.5: -115 Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Melbourne Storm moneyline, Melbourne covering the spread, and total points going over 44.5 for best expected value based on current odds and matchup dynamics.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 26 – Sydney Roosters 20


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