Match Analysis: Estoril vs Santa Clara – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-24
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estoril Home Stadium
Game Overview
Estoril hosts Santa Clara in their third Primeira Liga match of the season, both teams having underwhelming starts with limited points and negative goal differences. Santa Clara is slightly favored by the bookmakers despite their worse league standing.
Key Factors to Consider
- Estoril sits 12th with 1 point from two matches (0W,1D,1L) and -1 goal difference. Santa Clara sits 17th with 0 points from two losses and -4 goal difference. Both teams have struggled to score and defend but Santa Clara has not collected any points.
- Recent historical odds and form suggest Santa Clara has a stronger chance of winning this encounter. No detailed H2H historical stats available, but bookmaker implied probabilities favor Santa Clara.
- No specific injury information available in the data provided, suggesting no major absences affecting either side.
- The match is at Estoril’s home ground, which should provide them some advantage. No unusual external conditions reported.
- Santa Clara likely more motivated to avoid prolonged league bottom placement, currently winless with zero points. Estoril has a slight morale advantage from their solitary point but overall under pressure.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: +165, draw: +200, away: +175 | Away | ★★★☆☆ 64% |
Spread | Estoril -1: -110, Santa Clara +1: +100 | Santa Clara +1 | ★★★☆☆ 59% |
Over/under | over_2.5: -140, under_2.5: +110 | Over 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Santa Clara 29% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Santa Clara at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Santa Clara to win on the moneyline, with a spread advantage on the away side, and a moderately high chance for over 2.5 goals scored in the match.
Predicted Score: 1-2