Match Analysis: Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-22
- Time: 12:11 AM UTC
- Location: American Family Field
Game Overview
Milwaukee Brewers (80-48) host the San Francisco Giants (61-67) in a crucial late-season MLB matchup. Brewers lead the NL Central with strong offensive output and solid starting pitching. Giants struggle with a sub-.500 record, weaker batting average, but maintain a respectable pitching ERA. Starting pitchers are Jose Quintana for Milwaukee and Carson Whisenhunt for San Francisco.
Key Factors to Consider
- Brewers have one of MLBβs best records, boasting the third-ranked offense in runs scored and strong pitching from Quintana (10-4, 3.32 ERA). Giants have a 61-67 record, with weaker batting (.231 avg) but a decent pitching staff ERA (3.75). Giants have recently lost to strong teams including Padres.
- In recent matchups, Brewers tend to outperform Giants, especially at home. Quintana has a 2-2 record with 4.39 ERA versus Giants in last five starts, suggesting moderate success. Whisenhunt is making his first start against Milwaukee, adding uncertainty to Giantsβ pitching effectiveness.
- No significant injuries reported for either starting pitchers or key offensive players, maintaining full-strength lineups for both teams.
- Game played at Brewersβ home park (American Family Field) favors Milwaukeeβs batting-friendly environment. Weather conditions are typical with no adverse influences expected.
- Brewers are motivated to maintain strong positioning in NL Central playoff race, while Giants aim to stay competitive despite a losing record and upcoming easier opponents, possibly less urgency.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -164 | Milwaukee Brewers | β β β β β 76% |
Spread | 126 | Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 | β β β ββ 69% |
Over/under | -115 | Under 8.5 | β β β ββ 63% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers -0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8.5 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Brewers to win straight up, cover -1.5 run spread, and the total score to go under 8.5 runs.
Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 5 – San Francisco Giants 3