Match Analysis: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-21
- Time: 6:21 PM UTC
- Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Game Overview
The Chicago Cubs host the Milwaukee Brewers at Wrigley Field in a critical NL Central matchup. The Cubs have momentum after winning three of the first four games in this series, while the Brewers have a strong recent pitching form with Quinn Priester on the mound. Cubs starter Shota Imanaga has a solid season ERA but mixed recent outings. The betting lines favor the Cubs but the Brewers offer value as underdogs with a capable offense.
Key Factors to Consider
- Chicago Cubs are 41-24 at home and currently pushing to close the gap in the division. Milwaukee Brewers are 37-28 on the road but recently slowed down in wins after an early streak. Both teams have competitive records with Cubs holding slight momentum.
- Cubs have won 3 of 4 games in this current series against the Brewers, indicating recent dominance in their head-to-head matchup at Wrigley Field.
- No major injury reports impacting starting lineups or key players for either team were identified in recent updates, suggesting near full strength rosters.
- Game at Wrigley Field favors Cubs with familiar home environment and supportive crowd. Weather and other conditions appear neutral with no significant impact forecasted.
- Cubs are motivated by their need to remain competitive in the division race, having secured momentum in this series. Brewers look to stabilize after a slowdown and maintain playoff positioning.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -136 | Chicago Cubs | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | 155 | Chicago Cubs -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | -114 | Under 7 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Cubs 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 7 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chicago Cubs moneyline
Predicted Score: Cubs 4 – Brewers 2