Match Analysis: Washington Nationals vs New York Mets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: August 21, 2025
- Time: 8:06 PM UTC
- Location: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
Game Overview
The New York Mets, with a 67-59 record, face the Washington Nationals, who are 51-75 this season. Sean Manaea will start for the Mets against MacKenzie Gore for the Nationals.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Mets have struggled recently with a 5-12 record over their last 17 games, while the Nationals are 5-5 in their last 10. James Wood leads the Nationals with a .256 average, .354 OBP, and .474 slugging percentage.
- Historical data between the two teams is not detailed here, but the Mets' recent form has been inconsistent.
- No significant injury updates provided.
- Weather conditions are not noted as a factor.
- The Mets are more motivated to win due to their playoff aspirations.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -138 (Mets), 118 (Nationals) | Mets | β β β ββ 58% |
Spread | -1.5 (Mets) 122, 1.5 (Nationals) -146 | Nationals +1.5 | β β β β β 74% |
Over/under | Over 8 -118, Under 8 -104 | Over | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Mets 0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8 2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on recent form and starting pitcher performance, the underdog Nationals have a strong chance of winning, especially with Gore's recent success. However, the Mets are favored due to their overall season performance.
Predicted Score: Mets 4, Nationals 4 (finally going to the Mets due to their stronger roster)