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Sport Recife vs. Bahia Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Bahia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ilha do Retiro, Recife, Brazil

Game Overview

The match features mid-table Serie A Brazil teams Sport Recife and Bahia, both having started the season with draws. Sport Recife plays at home, leveraging their familiarity with Ilha do Retiro, but Bahia enters as slight favorites according to bookmaker consensus.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have shown solid defensive organization with low scoring in early matches—Sport Recife 0-0 and Bahia 1-1 draws. Recent form is balanced without wins or losses, indicating a closely matched contest ahead.
  • Historically, head-to-head matches between these teams tend to be tight with low scoring and frequent draws. This suggests a competitive game unlikely to yield a runaway result.
  • No significant injuries reported that critically weaken either squad, implying both teams can field close to full-strength sides.
  • Home advantage for Sport Recife at Ilha do Retiro and neutral weather conditions expected, with no notable external disruptions.
  • Early season points are critical for both teams to improve league positioning. Bahia’s slight current favoritism may boost their confidence, but Sport Recife’s home motivation is also high.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia: 1.45, Sport Recife: 2, Draw: 2.3 Bahia ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Bahia -0.25: 1.1, Sport Recife +25: 1.3 Bahia -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: 1, Under 2.25: 1.2 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bahia 23%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bahia at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The highest expected value play is a Bahia moneyline win at attractive odds due to slight favoritism and better moneyline value compared to the draw. The spread play favors Bahia -0.25 as they are slight favorites, and a cautious under 2.25 goals bet fits the low scoring trends.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Sport Recife vs. Bahia Prediction

Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Bahia – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-02 Time: 7:00 PM UTC Location: Ilha do Retiro, Recife, Brazil Game Overview The match features mid-table Serie A Brazil teams Sport Recife and Bahia, both having started the season with draws. Sport Recife plays at home, leveraging their familiarity with Ilha do Retiro, […]

August 2, 2025 Bahia Soccer Sport Recife

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Mirassol vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Mirassol Home Stadium

Game Overview

Mirassol hosts Vasco da Gama in a Brazilian Serie A matchup where Mirassol enters as slight favorites based on recent form and home advantage. Vasco da Gama has struggled lately with no wins in their last five games, contrasting with Mirassol's unbeaten streak over the same period.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mirassol has a strong recent run: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses in last 5 games. Vasco da Gama has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in last 5 games, showing clear form gap favoring Mirassol.
  • Historical data indicates a slight advantage to Mirassol, with a tendency for over 2.5 goals and goals scored by both teams in these encounters.
  • No notable injury reports affecting the starting line-ups for either team, implying both squads should be near full strength.
  • Mirassol plays at home with strong local support. The match is televised on multiple channels, indicating normal playing conditions without scheduling conflicts or extreme external pressures.
  • Mirassol is motivated to maintain strong league position and capitalize on current form, while Vasco da Gama is motivated to end their winless run but are under pressure with recent performance concerns.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mirassol 100, Vasco da Gama 320, Draw 225 Mirassol ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Mirassol -0.5 100, Vasco da Gama +50 -120 Mirassol -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25 -105, Under 2.25 -115 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mirassol 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mirassol at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mirassol to win the match on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 spread, with a moderately low scoring game under 2.25 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Grêmio vs. Fortaleza Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Fortaleza – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-29
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Brazil

Game Overview

Grêmio hosts Fortaleza in a Campeonato Brasileiro match where both teams have had mixed recent performances, but Grêmio has a historical edge at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Grêmio shows moderate home strength with 40% wins and 40% draws in recent matches; Fortaleza struggles away with only 20% wins, 80% combined draws/losses recently. Both teams average about 1.4 goals per game in 2025.
  • In 16 recent encounters, Grêmio won 6, Fortaleza 4, and 6 drawn matches. Average goals per match stand at around 2.0. Grêmio tends to have a slight advantage at home historically.
  • No critical injury info available, presumed both teams have near full strength.
  • Home advantage at Arena do Grêmio benefits the host; no unusual external conditions reported.
  • Grêmio currently ranks better (14th) than Fortaleza (19th), likely increasing home side's motivation to secure points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Grêmio 120, Fortaleza 235, Draw 230 Grêmio ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Grêmio -0.25 -110, Fortaleza +25 -110 Grêmio -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.25 -110, Under 2.25 -110 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Grêmio 23%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Grêmio at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Grêmio to win the match outright, with a close contest expected resulting in a moderately scored game.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Flamengo vs. Atletico Mineiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Flamengo vs Atletico Mineiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-27
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Maracanã Stadium, Rio de Janeiro

Game Overview

This Brazil Campeonato match features Flamengo hosting Atletico Mineiro, two historically strong teams with a close head-to-head record and recent differing forms. Flamengo stands higher in the league table and has favorable recent results, while Atletico Mineiro shows strong defensive form and unbeaten run in Copa do Brasil.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Flamengo ranks 4th in the league and has won 3 of their last 5 games, scoring and conceding more goals. Atletico Mineiro ranks 10th with mixed form in Serie A but is unbeaten recently in Copa do Brasil and defensively strong.
  • In their last 50 meetings, Flamengo leads with 21 wins to Atletico's 18, and 11 draws. Recent matches show Flamengo's slightly better offensive output (1.3 PPG vs. 1.4 for Atletico) and better handicap win rate (60%). Historically close rivalry with some big wins on both sides.
  • Currently no major reported injuries impacting key starters for either squad.
  • Flamengo plays at home in Maracanã, benefiting from home support. Both teams have similar travel conditions and no significant weather or external disruptions expected.
  • Flamengo aims to consolidate a higher league position with strong home performance. Atletico Mineiro targets to bounce back after inconsistent league form and maintain unbeaten Copa do Brasil momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Flamengo: -215, Draw: 330, Atletico Mineiro: 625 Flamengo ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Flamengo -1: -125, Atletico Mineiro +1: 105 Flamengo -1 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 Over 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo to win the match with a narrow margin, with expectation of moderate goal scoring but a solid defensive challenge from Atletico Mineiro.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Bahia vs. Juventude Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Bahia vs Juventude – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-27
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Brazil

Game Overview

Bahia, currently 6th in the Brazil Campeonato standings, hosts Juventude, who sit 18th, at Arena Fonte Nova. Bahia have home advantage and better recent form. Juventude struggle to score and concede frequently, making Bahia strong favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bahia has shown consistent form, climbing to 6th place with solid wins at home. Juventude ranks low in 18th with poor away results and multiple losses in recent matches.
  • In their recent two meetings last season, Bahia won both encounters, showcasing clear dominance over Juventude.
  • No major injuries reported for either side affecting key starters, implying both teams near full strength.
  • Match played at Bahia's home ground Arena Fonte Nova, giving them support and familiar conditions. No weather or travel issues expected.
  • Bahia motivated to consolidate their top 6 position for potential continental qualification, while Juventude fight to avoid relegation but with low confidence coming off poor form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia -290, Draw +400, Juventude +750 Bahia ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Bahia -1.25 -125, Juventude +1.25 +105 Bahia -1.25 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 2.5 -122, Under 2.5 +102 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bahia -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bahia to win moneyline, cover the -1.25 spread, and the match to end under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Internacional vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Internacional vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-27
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Beira-Rio, Porto Alegre, Brazil

Game Overview

Internacional and Vasco da Gama clash in a Serie A matchup, with Internacional favored to win due to their strong home form and Vasco's struggles away from home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Internacional has a strong record at home, while Vasco da Gama has been inconsistent and weak defensively away from home.
  • Historical head-to-heads do not significantly favor either team in recent matches but Internacional's current form gives them an edge.
  • No significant injury updates are available, but Internacional's squad depth is better.
  • Momentum and home advantage are key factors benefiting Internacional.
  • Both teams are motivated, but Internacional's desire to maintain home dominance is higher.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Internacional: -160, Vasco da Gama: 460, Draw: 285 Internacional Win ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Internacional: -0.75 -122, Vasco da Gama: 75 102 Internacional -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: -108, Under 2.25: -112 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 56%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Internacional 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Internacional is likely to win given their strong home form and Vasco's away struggles.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Internacional


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Cruzeiro vs. Ceará Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Ceará – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-27
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Raimundo Sampaio (Mineirão)

Game Overview

Cruzeiro hosts Ceará in a Brasileirão Série A clash where recent form and head-to-head history strongly favor the hosts, who are unbeaten in their last 10 matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cruzeiro have won 7 and drawn 3 of their last 10 matches, posting a 70% win rate and no defeats. Ceará has been inconsistent, with 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last 10, including 3 losses in their last 6. Cruzeiro's offensive and defensive metrics are superior in this matchup[1].
  • In direct matchups, Cruzeiro leads with 4 wins, Ceará has 2 wins, and 2 draws. The average goals per game in head-to-head matches is low (1.5), and under 2.5 goals is a common result. Cruzeiro also leads in clean sheets and comeback victories[1][2].
  • No specific injury updates are available in the provided data. Assume near-full squads unless new information arises.
  • No major external variables (weather, schedule congestion, etc.) are evident in the data. The match will be played at Cruzeiro's home ground, where they are historically strong.
  • Cruzeiro, competing at home, is likely highly motivated to capitalize on good form and solidify their league position. Ceará, with more inconsistent results, may struggle to impose their game plan away from home[1].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cruzeiro -220 | Draw 330 | Ceará 650 Cruzeiro ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Cruzeiro -1 (-125) | Ceará +1 (105) Ceará +1 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-102) | Under 2.25 (-118) Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 73%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cruzeiro 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cruzeiro's superior recent form and home advantage make them clear favorites, with a low-scoring, controlled victory the most likely outcome.

Predicted Score: Cruzeiro 1-0 Ceará


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Sao Paulo vs. Fluminense Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Fluminense – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-27
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Morumbí Stadium

Game Overview

A competitive Campeonato Brasileiro match with Sao Paulo hosting Fluminense, both teams evenly matched historically but with Sao Paulo slight home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Recent form shows Sao Paulo with slightly better performance at home and higher average goals scored (2.4) compared to Fluminense (1.5). Sao Paulo has won 4 of last 10 encounters, Fluminense 4, with 2 draws. Both teams have strong defensive records.
  • In 37 total meetings, Sao Paulo leads with 46% wins, Fluminense 27%, and draws 27%. Their matches average 2.62 goals, with 68% both teams scoring.
  • No critical injury updates found in the search results for either side affecting starting XI.
  • Match played at Sao Paulo's Morumbí, large capacity that can favor home crowd impact. No weather or travel issues reported.
  • Both teams are motivated; Sao Paulo to maintain home form and Fluminense to challenge strongly away. Past recent matches were competitive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sao Paulo: 1.3, Fluminense: 2.3, Draw: 2.3 Sao Paulo ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Sao Paulo -1: 2.1, Fluminense +1: 1.75 Sao Paulo -1 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5: 1.55, Under 2.5: 1.9 Under 2.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 33%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sao Paulo to win on the moneyline, Sao Paulo -1.0 on the spread, and under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Palmeiras vs. Grêmio Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs Grêmio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-27
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Parque

Game Overview

Palmeiras hosts Grêmio in a Brazilian Campeonato match where Palmeiras demonstrates recent strong home form and historical dominance in head-to-head matchups, while Grêmio struggles with away performance and defensive vulnerabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras has won 3 of their last 6 matches, scoring consistently with an average of 1.67 goals per game. Grêmio is in weaker form with only 1 win in their last 6 matches and lower scoring at 1.0 goal per game.
  • Palmeiras leads in direct encounters with 20 wins to Grêmio's 11 out of 46 matches, with 15 draws. Historically, matches average 2.35 goals with Palmeiras winning the majority at home.
  • No significant injury information is available from the data, so both teams likely field close to full-strength squads.
  • Playing at Allianz Parque home grounds gives Palmeiras a strong advantage. No other external factors such as weather or travel appear to strongly influence the match.
  • Palmeiras has strong motivation to capitalize on home advantage to improve standings, while Grêmio is seeking to address poor recent form and defensive issues including conceding the most penalties this season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Palmeiras -280, Draw 390, Grêmio 800 Palmeiras ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Palmeiras -1.25 (-118), Grêmio +1.25 (-102) Palmeiras -1.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-102), Under 2.5 (-118) Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras to win the moneyline, cover the -1.25 spread, and the match to finish under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Fortaleza vs. Bragantino-SP Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Fortaleza vs Bragantino-SP – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Castelao, Fortaleza, Brazil

Game Overview

Fortaleza hosts Bragantino-SP in a tight Brazilian Serie A matchup, with early odds favoring the home side at Estadio Castelao.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fortaleza has shown slightly better form according to implied probabilities (45.8% win chance vs. Bragantino-SP's 28.6%)[1]. Home advantage in Brazil is significant, and Fortaleza’s Estadio Castelao is a notoriously tough venue for visiting teams.
  • Recent H2H is evenly split, with both teams winning 5 of the last 11 encounters, but home/away splits lean moderately in Fortaleza’s favor[2]. High-variance recent matches, including a 2-0 away win for Fortaleza and a 2-1 home win for Bragantino-SP in the past year[2].
  • No significant injury news reported. Lineups and late changes may adjust the final probability.
  • No major external factors reported—no weather issues, scheduling congestion, or off-field drama.
  • Both teams are mid-table with something to play for in a tightly packed Serie A. Fortaleza particularly motivated to capitalize on home advantage and solidify a top-half position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fortaleza +120, Bragantino-SP +240, Draw +230 Fortaleza ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Fortaleza -0.25 -112, Bragantino-SP +25 -108 Fortaleza -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25 105, Under 2.25 -125 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fortaleza 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Expect a tight, competitive match with Fortaleza having a slight edge. The most likely scenario is a one-goal victory, with both teams contributing to goal flow.

Predicted Score: Fortaleza 1-0 Bragantino-SP


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