Match Analysis: Zachary Reese vs Sedriques Dumas – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 8:45 PM UTC
- Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, Texas
Game Overview
Middleweight bout between Zachary Reese (9-2) and Sedriques Dumas (10-3) with contrasting styles: Reese is a switch fighter with higher striking output, while Dumas is orthodox with strong strike defense.
Key Factors to Consider
- Reese has a higher significant strike rate (4.28/min) and better strike accuracy (54%) compared to Dumas (2.10/min, 45%). Reese also absorbs more strikes (2.99/min) versus Dumas (2.50/min), but Dumas boasts superior strike defense (55% vs 43%).
- No previous head-to-head fights recorded between Reese and Dumas.
- No significant injury reports for either fighter before the bout.
- Fight takes place at a neutral venue; no notable external influences detected. Dumas appears motivated despite financial hardship, which could impact focus.
- Both fighters motivated to climb rankings; Reese’s recent momentum and style advantage may give him psychological edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -238, away: +195 | Zachary Reese | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | home: -230, away: +165 | Zachary Reese -3.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | over: +124, under: -160 | Under 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Zachary Reese -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.5 -3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Zachary Reese to win on moneyline and cover the spread with a fight total going under 1.5 rounds.
Predicted Score: Zachary Reese wins via TKO in round 2