Match Analysis: Jackson McVey vs Zachary Reese – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-08
• Time: 9:10 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Fight Night, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

Middleweight bout featuring Zachary Reese stepping in on short notice against UFC debutant Jackson McVey.

Key Factors to Consider

• Zachary Reese holds a 9-2 (1 NC) UFC-level record with fast finishes and recent KO power; Jackson McVey is making his UFC debut after a six-fight win streak mostly over regional competition but lost his UFC debut via first-round submission.
• No prior head-to-head matchup between Reese and McVey.
• No reported injuries for either fighter; however, Reese stepped in on short notice which may impact conditioning slightly.
• Reese is favored heavily by sportsbooks and bettors; fight takes place at a large UFC event with high fighter motivation.
• Reese looks to rebound from a recent no contest and continue his fast finishing streak to re-establish dominance, while McVey aims to gain valuable UFC experience and prove himself against elite competition.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jackson McVey: +250, Zachary Reese: -300	Zachary Reese	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Zachary Reese -1.5 rounds: -250, Jackson McVey +1.5 rounds: +200	Zachary Reese -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: +177, Under 1.5 rounds: -205	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Zachary Reese -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Zachary Reese to win by moneyline with fight going under 1.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Fight ends early with Zachary Reese securing a finish within 1.5 rounds

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Josh Hokit vs. Max Gimenis Prediction	Josh Hokit Win	-425	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Jackson McVey vs. Zachary Reese Prediction	Zachary Reese Win	-300	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Gabriel Bonfim vs. Randy Brown Prediction	Gabriel Bonfim Win	-170	★★★★☆ 74% (74%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +162

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $52.32

Match Analysis: Zachary Reese vs Sedriques Dumas – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 8:45 PM UTC
• Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, Texas

Game Overview

Middleweight bout between Zachary Reese (9-2) and Sedriques Dumas (10-3) with contrasting styles: Reese is a switch fighter with higher striking output, while Dumas is orthodox with strong strike defense.

Key Factors to Consider

• Reese has a higher significant strike rate (4.28/min) and better strike accuracy (54%) compared to Dumas (2.10/min, 45%). Reese also absorbs more strikes (2.99/min) versus Dumas (2.50/min), but Dumas boasts superior strike defense (55% vs 43%).
• No previous head-to-head fights recorded between Reese and Dumas.
• No significant injury reports for either fighter before the bout.
• Fight takes place at a neutral venue; no notable external influences detected. Dumas appears motivated despite financial hardship, which could impact focus.
• Both fighters motivated to climb rankings; Reese’s recent momentum and style advantage may give him psychological edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -238, away: +195	Zachary Reese	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	home: -230, away: +165	Zachary Reese -3.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	over: +124, under: -160	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Zachary Reese -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Zachary Reese to win on moneyline and cover the spread with a fight total going under 1.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Zachary Reese wins via TKO in round 2

Match Analysis: Zachary Reese vs Dusko Todorovic – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: May 31, 2025
• Time: 1:15 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

Zachary Reese and Dusko Todorovic are set to face off in a middleweight bout at UFC Vegas 107. Reese is favored, with odds reflecting his recent form and performance in the UFC.

Key Factors to Consider

• Zachary Reese has a 8-2 record, recently splitting his first four UFC fights. Dusko Todorovic has a 12-5 record but has lost his last two fights. Reese's recent knockout win over Julian Marquez earned him a Performance of the Night bonus.
• This is their first meeting, with no prior head-to-head data available.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, which could favor Reese due to his recent experience competing in the UFC.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Reese looking to bounce back from a loss and Todorovic seeking to end his losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Zachary Reese -230, Dusko Todorovic 190	Zachary Reese	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Zachary Reese -3.5 -225, Dusko Todorovic 3.5 165	Zachary Reese	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 1.5 140, Under 1.5 -180	Under	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Zachary Reese -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Zachary Reese at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Zachary Reese is predicted to win based on his recent form and favorable odds.

Predicted Score: Zachary Reese via decision or TKO