Match Analysis: Yuni Takada vs Ryusei Matsumoto – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-14
• Time: 10:00 AM UTC
• Location: IG Arena, Nagoya, Japan

Game Overview

This is a 12-round Miniflyweight boxing match between Yuni Takada and Ryusei Matsumoto held at IG Arena, Nagoya. Both fighters are 27 years old Japanese nationals with close physical stats, competing under Ohashi Promotions and Matchroom Boxing. Matsumoto is the strong favorite with a very dominant recent record and knockout rate.

Key Factors to Consider

• Matsumoto has a 16-6-3 record, with a 38% KO rate and 50% losses by KO; Takada holds a 6-0-0 undefeated record with a 67% KO rate but has fewer career rounds and less top-level experience. Matsumoto's fights tend to be shorter and more varied in rounds, while Takada averages longer fights.
• This is their first recorded matchup, so no direct H2H data is available.
• No reported injuries affecting either fighter leading into this bout.
• Fight is at a neutral venue in Japan, no evident home advantage. Both fighters are motivated due to the stakes and their career trajectories in the minimumweight division.
• Takada is seeking to uphold an undefeated record which could add pressure but also drive; Matsumoto, with more experience and favorites' status, shows motivation to assert dominance and maintain position in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: +483, away: -800	Ryusei Matsumoto	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Ryusei Matsumoto -3.5: -150, Yuni Takada +3.5: +130	Ryusei Matsumoto -3.5	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	over 7.5: -140, under 7.5: +109	Under 7.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ryusei Matsumoto -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 7.5 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ryusei Matsumoto to win by decision

Predicted Score: Ryusei Matsumoto wins by unanimous decision after 12 rounds