Match Analysis: Yoenli Hernandez vs Kyrone Davis – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-31
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Michelob Ultra Arena at Mandalay Bay Resort & Casino, Las Vegas, Nevada
Game Overview
Top middleweight contenders Yoenli Hernandez (7-0-0, 7 KOs) and Kyrone Davis (19-3-1, 6 KOs) face off in a 10-round main event. Hernandez is a rising Cuban power puncher seeking to maintain his perfect record, while Davis is a seasoned veteran with a strong recent win and notable experience against world-class opponents.
Key Factors to Consider
- Yoenli Hernandez is undefeated with a 100% KO rate, demonstrating exceptional power and finishing ability. Kyrone Davis has faced tougher competition, including world champions, and is coming off a career-best decision win. Davis is the more experienced boxer but has a lower KO percentage and has been tested more against high-level opposition.
- No previous head-to-head encounters. This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
- No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading up to the bout.
- Hernandez is fighting to change perceptions of Cuban fighters and prove himself as a serious contender. Davis is highly motivated after a strong recent win and is pushing for a title shot, but he has historically taken fights on short notice and may have less preparation time compared to Hernandez.
- Hernandez is driven to maintain his perfect record and elevate his status. Davis is determined to secure a title shot and believes a win will cement his position as a top contender.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Yoenli Hernandez: -1200, Kyrone Davis: 628 | Yoenli Hernandez to win | High |
| Over/under | Over 8.5 rounds: -200, Under 8.5 rounds: 153 | Over 8.5 rounds | Moderate |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Yoenli Hernandez -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 8.5 -7% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Yoenli Hernandez at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Yoenli Hernandez is favored to win by knockout, given his perfect record and high KO rate. However, Kyrone Davis’s experience and recent form make him a credible underdog. The fight is expected to be competitive but will likely favor Hernandez in the later rounds.
Predicted Score: Predicted result: Hernandez by KO/TKO in rounds 9–10. Despite the odds favoring Hernandez strongly, Davis’s durability and recent form suggest he may push the fight into the later rounds before being stopped.