Match Analysis: Yi Zha vs Westin Wilson – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-23
- Time: 8:00 AM UTC
- Location: UFC Fight Night, Shanghai
Game Overview
Yi Zha is an overwhelming favorite due to superior striking and home advantage against Westin Wilson, who is a grappler with recent knockout losses and is significantly older.
Key Factors to Consider
- Yi Zha has a strong recent form with dominant striking and finishes, evidenced by a record of 25-5, whereas Westin Wilson is 17-9 with vulnerabilities in recent KO stoppages.
- No direct H2H history available between Yi Zha and Westin Wilson, but stylistic matchup favors Yi Zha’s striking over Wilson’s grappling.
- No significant injury reports on either fighter; Wilson’s recent KO losses may hint at compromised durability.
- Yi Zha’s home country advantage in Shanghai, likely boosting motivation and crowd support; Wilson traveling to hostile territory.
- Yi Zha is motivated to solidify dominance and move up UFC rankings, while Wilson seeks an upset but faces a challenging matchup.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Yi Zha: -1200, Westin Wilson: +700 | Yi Zha | ★★★★☆ 82% |
| Spread | Yi Zha -1.5 rounds -300, Westin Wilson +1.5 rounds +240 | Yi Zha -1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5 rounds +140, Under 1.5 rounds -170 | Under 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Yi Zha -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.5 3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Yi Zha to win by decision
Predicted Score: Yi Zha wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds