Match Analysis: Lourdes Juarez vs Yesica Nery Plata – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-18
• Time: 3:00 AM UTC
• Location: South Padre Island Convention Center, South Padre Island, Texas

Game Overview

WBC World Junior Flyweight title fight between Lourdes Juarez and Yesica Nery Plata, both top contenders in their division, scheduled for October 18, 2025, in South Padre Island, Texas.

Key Factors to Consider

• Yesica Nery Plata enters as a strong favorite with more recent wins and a solid winning streak, displaying high-level technical skills and resilience. Lourdes Juarez, while a proven champion with fast hands and good power, has shown vulnerabilities against pressure fighters.
• No direct previous matchups between Juarez and Plata exist, making this a fresh contest with no H2H data.
• Both fighters made weight successfully on the day before the fight, signaling good health and readiness with no reported injuries impacting performance.
• The fight is on Juarez’s home soil in Texas, giving her some crowd support, but Plata's recent performances in various US venues show she can handle away fights well.
• As a WBC title bout, motivation is extremely high for both; Juarez aims to defend her title and prove dominance, while Plata seeks to claim the championship to elevate her career.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Lourdes Juarez: +220, Yesica Nery Plata: -285	Yesica Nery Plata	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Yesica Nery Plata -1.5 rounds: -110, Lourdes Juarez +1.5 rounds: -110	Yesica Nery Plata -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 8.5 rounds: -120, Under 8.5 rounds: +100	Over 8.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Yesica Nery Plata -11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Yesica Nery Plata at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Yesica Nery Plata wins via decision

Predicted Score: Yesica Nery Plata wins by unanimous decision after 10 rounds