Match Analysis: Quillan Salkilld vs Yanal Ashmoz – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-07
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Prudential Center in Newark, NJ

Game Overview

Quillan Salkilld faces Yanal Ashmoz in a Lightweight bout at UFC 316. Salkilld, a rising star from Australia with a 8-1-0 record, is favored due to his significant strike output and reach advantage. Ashmoz, known as the 'Red Fox,' is a compact powerhouse but may struggle against Salkilld's longer reach and higher strike rate.

Key Factors to Consider

• Quillan Salkilld has a higher volume of significant strikes per minute (5.68) compared to Yanal Ashmoz (2.94). However, Ashmoz is more effective at blocking strikes (55% vs 43%).
• No previous bouts between these fighters.
• No reported injuries.
• The fight is in New Jersey, which may not offer specific advantages for either fighter.
• Both fighters are highly motivated for a win, but Salkilld seems more focused on his championship aspirations.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-550 for Quillan Salkilld, +400 for Yanal Ashmoz	Quillan Salkilld	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over 2.5 -160, Under 2.5 +130	Over 2.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Quillan Salkilld -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Quillan Salkilld is likely to win due to his superior striking output and reach advantage.

Predicted Score: Quillan Salkilld wins via unanimous decision.