Match Analysis: Shakur Stevenson vs William Zepeda – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-12
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Louis Armstrong Stadium, Queens, United States

Game Overview

The WBC lightweight title fight between reigning champion Shakur Stevenson and challenger William Zepeda is expected to showcase Stevenson's technical superiority and strategic ring control against Zepeda's aggressive style.

Key Factors to Consider

• Stevenson has demonstrated dominant performances in recent bouts, notably against come-forward opponents like Jamel Herring, using precise jabs and body attacks to control fights. Zepeda is known for his intensity and forward pressure but lacks Stevenson's technical defense and counterpunching.
• This is their first meeting; no direct H2H data available.
• No reported injuries for either fighter, both expected in peak physical condition.
• Fight is held at home territory for Stevenson in Queens, NY, with significant media attention and crowd support. Broadcast on DAZN PPV enhances exposure and pressure on both fighters.
• Stevenson is highly motivated to cement his legacy and unify the lightweight division. Zepeda is motivated as the underdog to upset and claim a major title but faces considerable odds.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Shakur Stevenson: -1200, William Zepeda: 650	Shakur Stevenson	★★★★☆ 87%
Spread	Stevenson -4.5 rounds: -140, Zepeda +4.5 rounds: +110	Stevenson -4.5 rounds (win by 5 or more rounds)	★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under	Over 10.5 rounds: -335, Under 10.5 rounds: +245	Under 10.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Shakur Stevenson -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 10.5 148%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 148% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 60.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Shakur Stevenson to win by TKO/KO before round 10

Predicted Score: Stevenson wins by TKO in round 9

Top EV Parlay for Boxing – July 12, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Tsendbaatar Erdenbat vs. Humberto Galindo Prediction	Tsendbaatar Erdenbat	-1000	420%
Shakur Stevenson vs. William Zepeda Prediction	Under 10.5	245	148%
Subriel Matias vs. Alberto Puello Prediction	Under 10.5	160	82%

Combined Odds: +887 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $197.34

Match Analysis: William Zepeda vs Tevin Farmer – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 29, 2025
• Time: 3:00 AM UTC
• Location: Polifórum Benito Juárez, Cancun, Mexico

Game Overview

William Zepeda will defend his WBC interim lightweight title against Tevin Farmer in a highly anticipated rematch.

Key Factors to Consider

• William Zepeda has a significant knockout percentage advantage and has remained undefeated, showcasing his aggressive fighting style. Tevin Farmer, though less powerful, has extensive experience and has shown resilience in previous fights.
• Zepeda won the first fight by a razor-thin split decision, but Farmer's clean punching and ability to knock Zepeda down during the match indicate strong potential for competitiveness.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• Fighting in Cancun might provide a favorable environment for Zepeda due to the location potentially energizing his performance.
• Both fighters are highly motivated; Zepeda seeks to prove his title worthiness while Farmer aims to redeem himself.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence

Predicted Outcome

William Zepeda is likely to win.

Predicted Score: Decision or Late Round Stoppage

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Yokasta Valle vs. Marlen Esparza Prediction	Yokasta Valle Win	-250	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
William Zepeda vs. Tevin Farmer Prediction	Over 10.5	-160	★★★☆☆ 60% (60%)
Brian Norman Jr vs. Derrieck Cuevas Prediction	Under 10.5	-115	★★★☆☆ 60% (60%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +325

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $85.07