Match Analysis: Abilene Christian Wildcats vs William & Mary Tribe – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-25
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: John Hurst Adams Gymnasium, Jacksonville, Florida
Game Overview
The Abilene Christian Wildcats (4-2) face the William & Mary Tribe (5-2) in a non-conference NCAA Men's basketball game. This matchup features two competitive teams, with Abilene Christian averaging 74.2 points per game and shooting 44.8%, while William & Mary allows approximately 74 points per game and shoots 48.1%. The game is expected to be close, with both teams showcasing solid offense and defenses that have allowed moderate shooting percentages to opponents.
Key Factors to Consider
- Abilene Christian holds a 4-2 record, scoring an average of 74.2 points per game. Key player Bradyn Hubbard averages 16.3 points per game on 43.4% shooting. William & Mary has a stronger record at 5-2, with Kyle Pulliam averaging 12.3 points and 3.9 rebounds. William & Mary’s defense is efficient, holding opponents to a 40.8% shooting average, and their offense shoots 48.1%. They are 1-0 in close games decided by fewer than 4 points, indicating experience in clutch situations.
- Historical head-to-head data between Abilene Christian Wildcats and William & Mary Tribe is limited but available through Sofascore. Previous encounters suggest the teams are evenly matched, enhancing the competitive nature of this game. Current form slightly favors William & Mary based on recent outcomes and home court advantage in a neutral Jacksonville setting.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team affecting key starters or rotation players ahead of this matchup.
- The game is played at a neutral site in Jacksonville, Florida, potentially minimizing home-court advantages. Both teams have last played recently with no extended rest differential noted. Travel fatigue is balanced.
- William & Mary, with a slightly better record, likely has motivation to maintain momentum before conference play starts. Abilene Christian looks to prove themselves on a neutral court against a team with a stronger record, which adds competitive drive.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Abilene Christian Wildcats: 105, William & Mary Tribe: -125 | William & Mary Tribe | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Spread | Abilene Christian Wildcats: 1.5 -110, William & Mary Tribe: -1.5 -110 | William & Mary Tribe -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Over/under | over: 146.5 -110, under: 146.5 -110 | Under 146.5 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | William & Mary Tribe -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 146.5 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 146.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
William & Mary Tribe is favored to win narrowly due to superior shooting efficiency, slightly better record, and composure in close games. The game is expected to be competitive with a final margin close to the spread.
Predicted Score: William & Mary Tribe 75 – Abilene Christian Wildcats 72