Match Analysis: Muhammadkhuja Yaqubov vs William Foster III – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-16
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: ProBox Events Center, Plant City, Florida, USA
Game Overview
Muhammadkhuja Yaqubov faces William Foster III in a highly anticipated junior lightweight title eliminator at the ProBox Events Center. Both fighters are ranked top ten by their respective sanctioning bodies, with Yaqubov ranked 5th by WBC and Foster 7th by WBA. This matchup is critical for both contenders aiming to position themselves for a future world title shot.
Key Factors to Consider
- Yaqubov is on a 4-fight winning streak since his last loss in 2022 and recently stopped his last opponent in 4 rounds. Foster holds a 19-2 record with 11 KOs and has fought slightly more frequently in recent years but averages shorter fights.
- No prior head-to-head fights between Yaqubov and Foster III exist. Both have proven records but no direct comparison.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, both appear to be in optimal fighting condition.
- Fight takes place at a neutral venue in Florida, favorable for both fighters in terms of travel; broadcast exposure on ProBox TV increases pressure and motivation.
- Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a title shot; Yaqubov may carry slightly more motivation due to recent stoppage wins and a desire to avenge previous WBC title loss indirectly.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Muhammadkhuja Yaqubov: -220, William Foster III: 170 | Muhammadkhuja Yaqubov | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Yaqubov -1.5 rounds: -120, Foster +1.5 rounds: 100 | Yaqubov -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 63% |
| Over/under | Over 8.5 rounds: 110, Under 8.5 rounds: -130 | Under 8.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Muhammadkhuja Yaqubov -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Muhammadkhuja Yaqubov at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Muhammadkhuja Yaqubov to win by decision
Predicted Score: Yaqubov wins by unanimous decision after 10 rounds